Scalper's Forum

#51
This is a very interesting way to look at things!! But how do you do it? what software do you use? Just want to make sure I am able to have the same configuration on my esignal....Not sure if using the market profile charting technique where you get to see the price action would be of any help. Now I have a better understanding on what you meant by trading on "price"...
 
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the tape

Well-Known Member
#52
hey bro !

i also traded indiabulls today............i guess we saw something in common there huh...........

This candle (A) definitely broke out of a range with crackers (B)................that turned me on...............


BTW, What are those dots telling in your tick chart ???

And please post a 5 min chart of your software...........thanks



 
#53
Do you guys trade the same stock every day? or do you guys trade different stocks? If you trade different stocks, then how do you decide which one's to trade? Is it based on news? analysts recommendations? or some other technical fact? I think that a scalper should "specialize" but I have also noticed that the same stock really doesn't move every day. Take SAIL for example...its only when i decide to trade this stupid thing doesn't move and just decides to sit there.....:confused:
 
#54
"inefficiencies" cannot be found untill one really bothers to find, how the system works. let me examplify a bit.

as we all know nse computes the closing price on volume weighted price avarage basis, taking the last 30 minutes of trade into consideration. now if the price of stock (lets say trading in a range of 100 - 101 upto 3:20pm) crashes by 10 bucks in the last 10 minutes of trade (lets say the last traded price be 90 bucks) then the closing price will not be 90 bucks but around 92 or 93 bucks, as per the price computed under the vwpa basis by the exchange. now this gives rise to an "inefficiency".

now how to trade it. well you cannot trade this set-up on a daily basis unless you are ready to take the vagaries of the gap opening, which imho should be avoided. but then the last day of the settlement (futures) gives us an oppurtunity to trade in such set ups. you simply calculate the expected closing price and buy (or sell) accordingly and let the contract expire. buying is preferred to avoid stt.

now remember contracts are settled on the closing price of the underlying and not the contract itself. so in our example the stock may go down to 90 bucks but the contract will not go to 90. instead it will hover around 92 - 93 range (where the closing price is expected). this fact also raises the point of how "efficeient" our market is? well for liquid scripts its very difficult to exploit this. but for some midcaps like airdeccan tvs motors and likes you can scalp few ticks here and there.
No idea about stocks but I have watched for the same on NIFTY for several months in continuation and it was always found that the adjusted price of NIFTY spot on Closing day will be the last traded price of NIFTY future (Looks like Bots are at work). Even for May expiry when the last half hour's trading activity was frenetic, the same has hold true.
 
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#56
Today I tried my hand on Reliance, the mother of all stocks in India....but since I touched it, the stock decided not to move. But it moves every other day. It's just that whenever I touch a stock, it doesn't move. The only one getting rich is my broker....

I do follow a bunch of 20-30 stocks. But in "Real Time" how do you decide or how can a scalper decide which one is moving? I guess a scalper has to be looking at all those stocks and pay attention to those volume and those "refreshers" and "axe". If you are trading NASDAQ, for example, a stock like SNDK moves every day. I can see how a scalper can scalp and make money. In fact, you don't even have to make any money on an ECN. (Any one has heard of "Liquidity Trading?"). If you provide liquidity for a stock, the ECN's would pay your $3 for every 1000 shares you trade. So a trader can trade 1 million shares a day (or more) and be flat and still get those rebates from ECN's. You just have to "provide" liquidity rather than "take away" liquidity on an ECN.

But here in India, this game is different. And a lot more difficult. It is hard because of so many insane taxes and charges....not to mention the fact the Mr. Chidambaram is planning on hiking the taxes even more for short term day traders...

Any ways, by the end of the day when i do look at the chart, my feeling is "gee, why didn't I trade HDFC today? or Reliance Capital today?" Even stocks like for example HDFC doesn't move every single day.

Can some body explain or show how to do you decide "in real time" which stock is about to move? The direction doesn't matter. As long as there is volatility, a good scalper should be able to catch the move on way or the other. Just like in any ball game or hunting, "timing" is the key here.

1) Can some one list some or all the stocks that moves "every single day"? I mean, is there any stock that moves every single day that a scalper can make a living out of it?
2) Is there any other techniques any body uses to hunt for these stocks other than just manually browsing through all the charts etc. Do you look at the "most active" stocks? or do u look for a "gap ups" and "gap downs?"

My only guess is that there should be a way to use that Metastock or Amibroker to scan for some patterns and then the software should "spit out" a bunch of them from all the thousands of stocks. And from those, a scalper can "narrow down" a list of stocks to trade. This way this is "Real Time" not "after you some pattern has occurred". It is difficult to scan for all these manually......at least in my experience, i always find some stocks "after it has moved". I would say that if you are not doing this, then you are only limiting yourself. Any thoughts?

How can a scalper predict this move in "real time" "before it is about to happen?". Like that pdf article has said, the method itself is not very important. But trading the right instrument is...The best traders in the world are only right 63% of the time.
So if a scalper can play the right instrument/stock, then this game can become a little bit easier. The worst thing that can happen is that you have a 50% chance of winning. Now if you add some of the scalping techniques, then your chances are better than this 50%....so any thing better than this 50% is good.
 
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the tape

Well-Known Member
#57
Today I tried my hand on Reliance, the mother of all stocks in India....but since I touched it, the stock decided not to move. But it moves every other day. It's just that whenever I touch a stock, it doesn't move. The only one getting rich is my broker....

I do follow a bunch of 20-30 stocks. But in "Real Time" how do you decide or how can a scalper decide which one is moving? I guess a scalper has to be looking at all those stocks and pay attention to those volume and those "refreshers" and "axe". If you are trading NASDAQ, for example, a stock like SNDK moves every day. I can see how a scalper can scalp and make money. In fact, you don't even have to make any money on an ECN. (Any one has heard of "Liquidity Trading?"). If you provide liquidity for a stock, the ECN's would pay your $3 for every 1000 shares you trade. So a trader can trade 1 million shares a day (or more) and be flat and still get those rebates from ECN's. You just have to "provide" liquidity rather than "take away" liquidity on an ECN.

But here in India, this game is different. And a lot more difficult. It is hard because of so many insane taxes and charges....not to mention the fact the Mr. Chidambaram is planning on hiking the taxes even more for short term day traders...

Any ways, by the end of the day when i do look at the chart, my feeling is "gee, why didn't I trade HDFC today? or Reliance Capital today?" Even stocks like for example HDFC doesn't move every single day.

Can some body explain or show how to do you decide "in real time" which stock is about to move? The direction doesn't matter. As long as there is volatility, a good scalper should be able to catch the move on way or the other. Just like in any ball game or hunting, "timing" is the key here.

1) Can some one list some or all the stocks that moves "every single day"? I mean, is there any stock that moves every single day that a scalper can make a living out of it?
2) Is there any other techniques any body uses to hunt for these stocks other than just manually browsing through all the charts etc. Do you look at the "most active" stocks? or do u look for a "gap ups" and "gap downs?"

My only guess is that there should be a way to use that Metastock or Amibroker to scan for some patterns and then the software should "spit out" a bunch of them from all the thousands of stocks. And from those, a scalper can "narrow down" a list of stocks to trade. This way this is "Real Time" not "after you some pattern has occurred". It is difficult to scan for all these manually......at least in my experience, i always find some stocks "after it has moved". I would say that if you are not doing this, then you are only limiting yourself. Any thoughts?

How can a scalper predict this move in "real time" "before it is about to happen?". Like that pdf article has said, the method itself is not very important. But trading the right instrument is...The best traders in the world are only right 63% of the time.
So if a scalper can play the right instrument/stock, then this game can become a little bit easier. The worst thing that can happen is that you have a 50% chance of winning. Now if you add some of the scalping techniques, then your chances are better than this 50%....so any thing better than this 50% is good.
Hi traderwiz,

you seem very enthusiastic, which is very good. frankly speaking, it seems like you want to get started, but you are not sure about in what way you are going to approach the market. You should approach the markets with something solid in your hands.

You have to(and one must) develop a skill, may it be the tape reading, reading charts, trading news,etc

As you said, you traded reliance today. please tell me, based on which logic or analysis did you take the position ???

i trade the market using charts and within this word charts, comes hundreds of patterns and formations......... and with time, i have been able to find out, what patterns work best for me !

As you said, you looked at the chart of hdfc and hope you traded that........... did you try to find out what was different in hdfc from other charts that made it move ( that's the point ). do that............ your position should be backed up with any of your logic, whatever it may be, if it works its a fine logic.


If you are looking for stocks that keep moving all the time, don't go for heavy weights, go for mid caps like adlabs, hdil, litl, jindalsteel, orchid chem. these stocks have smaller floats compared to sbi's and hdfc's that is why they tend to give bigger percentage moves.

In real time, figuring out which stock is going to move is a lot harder for even experienced one

Becoming profitable in the markets would atleast take couple of months, its a long process. and if you want to move forward using charts, we are there to help............

Peace....................
 

RSI

Well-Known Member
#58
Four Factors Most Important

xxxxxxxxxxxxxx

2. xxxxxxxxx. A congestion zone is different from a rectangle. eg. see below.



I could not follow what you are trying to say. Can you post one or two charts wherein congestion zone and rectangles seperately?

Thanks in advance and regards
R. S. Iyer
 

RSI

Well-Known Member
#59
Kind request to tape and trader111

Charts with white background are much easier to read than the chart with pitch black background. So treat this as a request. Please post charts with white background.
Thanks and regards
R. S. Iyer
 
#60
Hi traderwiz,

you seem very enthusiastic, which is very good. frankly speaking, it seems like you want to get started, but you are not sure about in what way you are going to approach the market. You should approach the markets with something solid in your hands.

You have to(and one must) develop a skill, may it be the tape reading, reading charts, trading news,etc

As you said, you traded reliance today. please tell me, based on which logic or analysis did you take the position ???

i trade the market using charts and within this word charts, comes hundreds of patterns and formations......... and with time, i have been able to find out, what patterns work best for me !

As you said, you looked at the chart of hdfc and hope you traded that........... did you try to find out what was different in hdfc from other charts that made it move ( that's the point ). do that............ your position should be backed up with any of your logic, whatever it may be, if it works its a fine logic.


If you are looking for stocks that keep moving all the time, don't go for heavy weights, go for mid caps like adlabs, hdil, litl, jindalsteel, orchid chem. these stocks have smaller floats compared to sbi's and hdfc's that is why they tend to give bigger percentage moves.

In real time, figuring out which stock is going to move is a lot harder for even experienced one

Becoming profitable in the markets would atleast take couple of months, its a long process. and if you want to move forward using charts, we are there to help............

Peace....................
Thanks to every one. My trading logic is very simple (but not easy):

Using a Renko Charts and catching the trend. I am not sure if any one is using Renko Charts or have access to it on your charting program. You may google "Renko Charts" and try to read it if you are not familiar with it. It will take you just 5 minutes max..... In a nutshell, Renko charts show you the trend in bricks. If the brick is hollow or empty (green), it is advisable to go long and if this Renko is filled with red color then you would go short (at least, thats what the text books say). :)
This is my KISS (Keep it Simple Stupid). This is my strategy. There is no logic here. In my opinion, a day trader doesn't need any logic. If you are Warren Buffett or Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, then you need that logic factor. Here my logic is to stay with the trend. Thats it. A candlestick chart doesn't help me stay with the trend. But a renko does. I will try to post a renko chart (after I figure out how to post it on traderji).

My logic is this:

A day trader/scalper needs to be in a highly volatile stock to catch those moves.
This Renko chart shows these trends. Try it and see for yourself. The candlesticks can confuse you. Especially when you look at a 1 minute candlestick or even the tick charts, every one of these charts would tell you one different story (and least to me) and every time I look at this candle, i get so confused that I don't know what to do. This is "trader's block" syndrome. I mean, a 1 minute candle would say long, but a 3 minute candle would say short and a 5 minute candle would show you doji. etc. and so forth....

Not with this Renko. Looking at a renko chart for say, reliance, it looks so easy. it looks so simple. my thinking is that even a dumb monkey can be trained to buy when there is this hollow green box and sell or go short if there is a red box. The problem with this renko chart (or with any trend following method) is that u get hit pretty bad if the market is choppy or if the market is in a range. So this Renko would not work for a stock that is trading in a range. But then, no body knows in real time whether if a stock is going to "break out" or if it is "in a range". The best you can do is look at the stock's trading history..which is what I did.

The mother (Reliance) is very very volatile every day. I guess one day she moves and the next day she has decided to just rest peacefully.... So here is my logic: use a Renko charting technique to follow "the mother" to help you stay with the trend. I can show you how simple and easy it looks on a chart after i figure out how to upload it. Renko can really help u stay away from the noise factor.

The bad thing about Renko is that it is LAGGING. If you say for example use a 5 minute Renko chart, you would get some boxes after 5 minutes. The current trading price, may not be even near those boxes (at least for "the mother"). To me this is the "noise". So i convinced myself "to have those balls of steel" that every trader needs to have and just follow the signals that my renko tells me. But then, i just realized that i have balls of plastic and can't follow my own simple basic rules some times....

no brains involved here. just reacting i.e. if the box is green and empty stay long and if the box is read and filled then go short. You may also combine this with the usual "hanging man candle" or an "inverted candle". but then, u may end up getting the trader's block syndrome and can't pull the trigger due to confusion or analysis paralysis!

For those of you who have any charting software, just try renko on Reliance (say 5 minute chart) and see for yourself. How easy does it look? But i guess this is would be analogous to watching Sampras or Tiger woods playing tennis or golf and saying, "hey, that was so easy"!

Rajesh
 
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