i am not able to get what's making you to expect good downside below todays low ? gut feeling or your analysis(maybe i missed something ) ? not to say that you are wrong or right just curious to know.
I believe my chances of getting those 20 points below LOD are good because, the LOD break will mark:
1) Rejection of todays up move with the opening gap-up over yesterday's HOD
2) Break of 15min short term moving avg of 15
3) And an important intraday support level of 6760