Thanks guys for your views ...
From my perspective, markets are poised at a very critical trading band and its like standing at a 'Y' shape road, left hand goes to hell and right hand goes to heaven.
Fundamentally - Fed has stopped printing money, interest rates are on a rise gradually and the global growth seems to have peaked which are all negative news for markets. The biggest scare is how bad does it need to get before Fed starts printing money again?
In the short term, there are a lot of bullish divergences being shown by many leading indicators vis-a-vis stock markets so markets can continue to move up albeit on lower momentum.
In the medium term, markets should come down by another 20% - 25% back to 2009 levels.
In the long run, we are still in a secular bear market (Yes sir - contradictory to many who believe in price only, if you adjust price with inflation, we are going down since 2007)
If Fed starts printing money in 2011, we should be able to see 6500 on Nifty by 2011/2012
Coming back to right now, longs continued to be held as per 315.
Cheers
SH
From my perspective, markets are poised at a very critical trading band and its like standing at a 'Y' shape road, left hand goes to hell and right hand goes to heaven.
Fundamentally - Fed has stopped printing money, interest rates are on a rise gradually and the global growth seems to have peaked which are all negative news for markets. The biggest scare is how bad does it need to get before Fed starts printing money again?
In the short term, there are a lot of bullish divergences being shown by many leading indicators vis-a-vis stock markets so markets can continue to move up albeit on lower momentum.
In the medium term, markets should come down by another 20% - 25% back to 2009 levels.
In the long run, we are still in a secular bear market (Yes sir - contradictory to many who believe in price only, if you adjust price with inflation, we are going down since 2007)
If Fed starts printing money in 2011, we should be able to see 6500 on Nifty by 2011/2012
Coming back to right now, longs continued to be held as per 315.
Cheers
SH