madhura said:
Hi Amit,
yeah i like this idea of interactive discussion!
i am putting some points for those 4 scrips, which is according to my understanding,please correct me if i am wrong:
i have seen charts from June to sep for more clarity, and for guj ambuja from jul to sep as it was split it seems:
guj ambuja-from july to sep...ascending trend with least resistance level...will see 86 in 1 month
rana sugar-(june to sep)is in congestionn area from 31 to 35--entry level 35
india cements-(june to sep)supports-97,111(before crash),resistance at 115, but will break soon seeing ascending trend..should touch 130 in month--now can be entered into ??
finolex-(june to sep)support 73-67-was resistance at 81 level which is broke out...if continues same trend,will shoot 95 soon--after it crosses 83 may be?
Awaiting your reply.
Hi Madhura...good going here.
First thing, it's important to look at data as far back as possible. Very often some important clues are found from early on. Looking at data in the short term, a lot of the history is missed out, and also one cannot look too far ahead into the likely future moves of a stock.
Ageed, you ae unlikely to find historical data on GujAmbuja that would correspond with the curent prices. Yes, the way ahead appears clear, and here you want to look at the immediate supports in case there is a retracement. 73-74 seem good just below the CMP of 76. Further down, 70 is firm too, and this would be the s/l in a trade at this point. 68 is there too, but a bit too deep, and applicable if the position is for the mid to long term. Would have been interesting to see why you've targeted 86 in a month.
RanaSug has peaked intaday at 37 quite recently from where it fell sharply. I would be cautious here. You could keep an entry at 35, but only if the momentum is strong and the volume surging. If going in at 35, keeping in view the threat at 37 where another sharp decline may possibly come, I would stop out at 31 if in for a quick trend-trade. For a longer hold, 29 would be it.
IndiaCem, is looking good still with consistent volume. Yes, there is support at 96-97 which would be s/l too at this point, and 92 is final. 111-112 is immediate resistance above and then 115-118. Again, how about the target of 130 in a month?
Finolex, the support at 72 is final. Below here a recovery would take long to current level of 79 off. 82-84 are resistance now.
On the fundamental front, they produce PVC pipes for both construction and agriculture, and looking ahead should be well placed following the good monsoons. It's an old company...I think about 20 years, and a strong player. As the last quarter results were not up to the mark, I would be a little cautious here. Lately there has been a strong buying interest as this may be a value pick, but the breakout a few days ago has not really taken off yet. There has been a retracement at lower volumes, so technically the breakout phase is still on. Take it above 84 on the rise to be cautious. Here the final stop would be 75. A little deep, but stong support here.
Keep it up, Madhura!