brewin_vaz said:
hi amit
great work on this thread....
i'm currently into technical analysis. learning it from many different sites. its making my understanding of charts much better.
i have looked into Bajaj Hindustan Ltd. if i'm not mistaken its forming an ascending triangle. i expect it to increase by about 30-35 Rs if it breaks out with good volume. on the other hand, it slightly looks like a rising wedge which indicates bearish outlook. what is your comment regarding this?
btw, where do u check up charts on the net?
awaiting your expert comments....
Hi brewin_vaz...that's a pretty good look you've had. Yes, there is a classy ascending triangle formation from 180 to 220.
About the rising wedge it's not easy to say. The wedge formation, rising or falling, appears very similar to the triangle formation, whether ascending or descending.
In ascending triangles, the line drawn at the top is horizontal, and the line joining it climbs at an angle. Conversely, with descending triangles, the horizontal line is at the bottom with the slanting line slopes down along the peaks of the traiangles to meet it.
With rising wedges, the two lines both slope upwards. The angle of the bottom line is normally steeper compared to the angle of the line at the top. Logically then, the two would convelge at some point.
In the case of the upper line, or the resistance line, a series of highs are formed where the price drops from. Below, the support line is formed on a series of higher lows.
Here the volume is most critical to assess any trend reversal. As the price rises to declining volumes, over a period of time, the higher lows at the bottom line begin to get lower, indicating the first signs of weakness, even as the upper resistance line drops off. The two lines are on a convelging path now.
The trend reversal comes with the clear breaking of the support line.
It's early to say if Bajaj Hindustan is forming a rising wedge. It may well be just a continuation of the trend. Only at a break past 225 with increased volume will the rally come. To the down, a break at 182 may turn it bearish.
BSE has a good charting facility which I use.
Great going, brewin_vaz. Keep it up!