Some Good Steals...

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AMITBE

Well-Known Member
#81
Hi Narandra,
Sorry you missed the ride on IndBulls, but never worry. The market is an ocean and good buys are always there to be picked.
Yes buddy, go right ahead and post your portfolio with buying date/price etc. Be happy to discuss with you.
Hi Kamalesh, really appreciate your comment on GujNRECoke. It has been testing my nerves too, and going by what you have said, I'll check the details and also the date of the results.
As the Nifty has crossed the crucial level of 2250 so nonchalantly today, it may well have entered a new realm of renewed bull-vigour so to speak. Perhaps will seek a higher level to exit GuNRCoke and go on to greater things! Will keep all posted though.
Both Crest and Sesa had a great run today, and especially Crest, but will check the data to see if there is a good entry possible in the current levels somewhere. I've done well in the past on it.
Kitex Garments and Magna Electro are BSE scrips? Since I don't trade there, I'm not in touch with these, but will get a look in.
Thanks, and any comments from you are always welcome.
Have a nice weekend.
 
#82
Hi Amitbe and Traderji,

AMITBE said:
Hi Narandra,
Yes buddy, go right ahead and post your portfolio with buying date/price etc. Be happy to discuss with you.
So, here is my portfolio, that I have built over past 6 months.
I have mentioned the scrip name, No. of shares and the cost price (inclusive of brokerage)
Scrip No. of shares Cost Price
EICHER Ltd 15 155.84
HINdustan MOTors 25 29.13
TVS motors 35 74.79
PUNjab National BANk 10 390.00
GUJarat AMBuja 75 58.83
PRAyag ENG 50 61.56
TCS 10 1,122.81
SAIL 20 49.45
USHa Martin 20 87.38
RAMa NEWsprint 100 14.53
HINdustan PETroleum 10 347.51
RELiance INDustries 5 549.01
BHArti TEle 8 207.14
KANika INFo 2300 1.28
VIShal EXPorts 45 31.71

Please do give your valuable suggestions on my portfolio.
I am looking for a long term (1-2 years, even 3 years is ok) investment.
So, I want to keep only those which are eligible for this.
And if any of the above are not good for long term, please let me know and also suggest a good replacement for this.

Thanks,
Narendra
 

AMITBE

Well-Known Member
#85
Hi allI do hope every one took a little or a lot of the benefits in the spectacular run over the week, and taking some deserved easy time off now.
It would sound as if I am boasting and vaunting if I went over all that happened over the week from my calls on the likes of CenTextiles, IndBulls, Dabur etc. About these, all I want to say for now is that they have run up a lot, especially the first two. They may possibly scale down a bit to stabilize and consolidate for a while from here. Not a significantly high percentage was delivered of the high volumes in both yesterday. On the other hand, they could even try to find higher grounds, but Id rather not take my chances just yet.
With Dabur though, there would still be openings on any fall-backs. Its momentum got thrown off at the skewed opening at 158 yesterday and consolidated all day to finish 150 off. More than half of the volume got delivered, so try to take at below this if possible for 160, but be patient with it.

To go back to yesterdays posting on Godrej and Gammon:
AMITBE said:
From my earlier suggestions, two important events happened today:
Both Godrej and Gammon had strong closings today, with the long missing additional trump-card, volumes.
Godrej after making recent highs of 260 has been flitting around 228-235 for over a month. On a rough day like today it closed 241.20 with ok but much increased volumes of over 2 lakhs with 50% delivery. Just past crucial levels now, and there is every reason to believe that the moment is very near indeed when it should be up and away.
Gammon, since I started discussing it has been running on very poor volumes, just a few thousand for over a month, though at its most bullish moves, the volumes rarely exceed 2 lakhs. The price has jumped between 263-269 mainly and a few times has touched 274 intraday. On low volumes it has not been able to hold anywhere. Todays 270 close with 273 intra, with over a lakh volume with over 50% delivery is a great sign for this scrip too, at last. Watch for volume build up and to cross 274 to enter. And again, be very sure and quick either way, for it can spurt fast. Stop loss is 269, where I had bought it, but 263 is very good too. Dont I know! First target is 284, and on clearing 289, expect 299. Theres lot more when we ever get to it. Very early next week this should be flying around.
They both followed the call perfectly. Godrej began the day slowly and even dipped to 236, and then spurted to 252 to close 249 off, on volumes that could have been better than the 3.5 lakh. Now on the back of the good results all that should be taken care of and I expect this to get on with it. First target is 260-265, but if one holds, even more.
Gammon too began slow and saw a good volume build-up, over 2 lakh, which is good enough as it moves on lower volumes compared to others. Over 81% of this was deliverable! It did intraday 276 to close 272.60. Id be repeating my self if I said the targets are very good.

On some of the more recent calls:
AMITBE said:
Aegis Logistics (AEGISCHEM): Has run up since the middle of March from 55 levels, and then from the third week of June from 74 levels to close 104 on Friday. What is most peculiar about this scrip is that it runs on very low volumes compared to the standards we are used to. Normally liquidity is a prime concern for me, but this one seems an exception as it has set its own standards. Still looks to be a little over bought, so keep watch for a dip to near 94-96 levels and take your chances. At this time 92 will find a good support for it, and looks like a great scrip for 120 target.

SBI Home Finance: Had been trading in the 18-20 band since April last year with flat volumes. On crossing the 19 mark on the last two sessions of the past week with good volumes, has all at once crossed its 20, 50, 200 DMA. Closed 21.55, and looks most interesting given that the other home finance scrips are too doing so well. At crossing 24, expect 30 with a hiccup around 27. The momentum should come past 22, but take a chance now to enter early. 19-20 stop loss, but the need may not arise.

Chambal Fertilisers: Closing 33.95 on Friday, this too has given a signal with great volumes. For a whole year has moved side ways between 30 and 32 off and the volumes have always been great. The levels fill form a very stable support. The much awaited break out seems very likely so keep close watch. May test 37-39 in near term.
AEGISCHEM closed 121 yesterday. (called at 104, up 16.3%) Leave it for now. Will keep track and post.

SBI Home Finance closed 26.70 with intra 27.50. (called at 21.55, up 23.9%) At closing over 27, can go to 30 plus near term.

Chambal closed 35.95 with intra 36.55. (called at 33.95, up 5.9%). Still good for 39-40 in near term, volumes are good.

Hi hmp, so glad you could make some money on IndBulls, friend. I have written above on it for now, but if you dont mind waiting a month or more, the target is way higher.
Hi ravi t, what exactly were you asking about GUFIC BIOSCIENCES?
Hi Narendra, thanks for your trust in sharing your portfolio here, and second thoughts, I ought not to have let you post it here as this is all personal stuff. Even so, Ill have a thorough look tomorrow and post to the best of my ability.
Will look for some more scrips/calls and post on Sunday.
Thanks and bye for now.
 

AMITBE

Well-Known Member
#88
Hi Narendra,
Here is my take on the scrips you have listed. I have no claims on being a fundamental/financial analyst, so my opinion comes partly from technicals, which may or may not be relevant here, and partly from common sense, ie, if I have any!
Dealing with loss making investments are always difficult choices, so Im looking at them first in more detail. For the rest amongst the profit making scrips if there is any reason to comment Ill do so. The good ones Ill leave alone.
Also, please give me the symbol of the scrip along with the company name and specify whether its on NSE or BSE as a lot of time gets spent on looking them up. I can work with NSE listings as I maintain data on those.
Also much depends on your personal capacity to take losses in the bigger picture. But if you trade with discipline, you should be able to make up in the long run. It seems like in some cases you may have acted impulsively. Dont ever chase stocks that surge suddenly. There will always be chances, so do some research first. Im saying all this from my own personal experience, and Im sure most beginners pass through here too.

EICHER: There was some restructuring in passing some of its business to Eicher Motors in Nov. last year.
There seems no certain sign of coming out of the downward correction yet. Is currently trading at most crucial levels of 120, and a fall below this could take it to 110.
On the up side, Franklin Templeton Mutual Fund bought over 1.5 lakh shares between Feb-May this year. In the share holdings, mutual funds, govt. bodies, and corporates etc. have about 15%. Declared slight profits in the annual results this year.
The quarterly results come tomorrow, and if positive, may trigger a reversal of the down trend, which would be positively defined at a close above 135 levels.
My suggestion is watch the results tomorrow, and if positive, ride the current bull momentum and see if the price shows an up swing, even if gradual.
If you can come closer to your buy price at some point, bail out and look for something else.

Rama Newsprint. Get out of here at the first opportunity. This one is going nowhere, and languishes even in bull runs. Over the next few days it may come close to your entry, leave it

Hindpetro like others in its set, are dependent on govt. policy decisions, which are based on political imperatives of the times. Both the bottom lines and top lines are tied at the policy level.
What more is there to say, except it is in a corrective phase and you bought it quite high. I dont know what the quarterly results are going to be like, and even if decent, will have a great influence on the price. All will depend on what the govt. does with hike in fuel prices mainly, and there are no easy solutions on this issue at all.
On techs alone, it may get a bounce from the current close of 299 off but there are several resistances on the way up. Since your exposure is not a large one, seek a higher level to exit in the next little while. An announcement of fuel price could come soon, and together with hopefully good results and the market momentum, you may find a decent exit.

Vishal Exports seems stable now at current 20 off levels. Here again there are several blockages on the way up, when it does trend up as the quarterly results have been decent. Id again suggest you wait and watch for a while.

Hind Motors, quite frankly for me is a momentum play for day traders, as there are no clear strong fundaments, despite being one of the oldest companies belonging to one of the largest business houses. The company posted losses for the last four years, but had recorded a small profit in the Dec quarter last year. It has a very limited market niche in the car segment and I believe it has increased focus on manufacturing components for various heavy duty vehicles.
Current close of 38 off is important, as anything below 34-35 could take it closer to your entry. The up side is only going to be news related or momentum play, though again, in the expected likely higher levels of the indexes over the next short period, it may go up a little with the general trend.
My suggestion again, book profits at higher levels if possible and move on.

Usha Martin I have covered earlier for you, and the rest of your scrips are good. The ones that are below your entry will come back in sooner than later.
Kanika Info and Prayag are not with me for now.
You may want to read the following thread, Narendra, and benefit from it: http://www.traderji.com/showthread.php?t=613
Hope this helps.

Hi ravi t and roneeth, Ill come back later tonight and make suggestions to your questions.
Thanks for now.
 
#89
Hi Amit,

what is your call on entering ONGC at this level (it has already risen 2.2% on 22nd) early tommorow morning keeping in mind the JV's between ONGC and Mittal Group??

-Sam.
 
#90
Hi Amit,
I am a new entrant in stock market.
I have recently purchased rs software and indusind bank at 86 & 74 resp. What do u think of them in coming week.
 
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