Some Good Steals...

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Hi Amit,
Please can you thrrow some more light on Support,Resistance, breakout and false breakout basics whenever you get time!
what is thin line of difference between breakout and false breakout.

i have gone through some material for technical analysis....does moving averages chart help us determine short term and long term target?

Thanks
Madhura
 

AMITBE

Well-Known Member
tarik said:
Hi Amit,
Could you pls. tell me the target for Ginni Filament. I bought at 43.81 and CMP is 49.6 Thanks Tarik
Hi tarik..The rally today may well take the price up further. If 50 is cleared, look for 53.
Should 45 seem weak at some point, exit here.
Regards.
 
naga2054 said:
Great Explanation Amit. These TechBits make us ascend towards the orbit of TA.. ,

Was trying to collatethe knowledge of Ascending triangle also..

for instance take the double bottom, where the 2nd bottom is higher than the 1st bottom - then it gets into an ascending triangle pattern where a breakout will be positive one ( am i true in saying so?)

going on the same lines in case of Double Top, where the 2nd Top is less than the first one - does it imply a descending triangle pattern where the breakout will be in the negative direction?

Please correct us..
Nagzu
Hi Nagzu,

Just an add to Amit's comments........To put it simply,a symmetrical triangle is a neutral pattern,usually it continues the trend before the triangle formation......but the word usually is important.What we do is to wait for a breakout or breakdown and trade accordingly.

An ascending triangle is usually a bullish formation......of course it could go the other way at times,which makes it exceptionally bearish.An ascending triangle at the bottom is still bullish,it is a sign of things about to change.As you said correctly,if the 2nd bottom is higher than the 1st bottom,now we have a higher pivot high+an asc triangle.....again a possible sign of better times.

A descending triangle is usually bearish......you get to see it more often as the stock is in a downtrend.Can a stock make atop and then make a 2nd top lower than the 1st one,and then get into a descending triangle?Sure.As with the ascending triangle,this is a sign of caution....a signal of bad times to come for this stock.Again,descending triangles usually break down,but there are those instances where it gets nullified.....then it's doubly bullish.In the case you mentioned,a lower pivot high + a desc triangle at the top is asign of caution.....possible breakdown.

Happy Trading!
Saint
 

AMITBE

Well-Known Member
madhura said:
Hi Amit, Please can you thrrow some more light on Support,Resistance, breakout and false breakout basics whenever you get time!
what is thin line of difference between breakout and false breakout.
i have gone through some material for technical analysis....does moving averages chart help us determine short term and long term target? Thanks Madhura
Hi Madhura, had written a piece on breakouts recently: http://www.traderji.com/showpost.php?p=18277&postcount=879
I'll write in later on your other subjects.
You could also try and find a book: Technical Analysis From A to Z by Steven B Achelis. Its a good place to begin to get familiar with the various elements of TA.
Regards.
 

AMITBE

Well-Known Member
Thanks for the add in saint...
Somewhere I feel, beyond all the technical elements, one has to eventually develop an instict for each chart one sees by looking at its character, and then as one tracks it, the anicipated moves begin to come true.
 
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AMITBE

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tradebull said:
Hi AmitBE,
A few more to get your suggestions on for short to medium term. Please let me know your thoughts.
1) Wellwin Industries CMP 11
2) Hyderabad Industries CMP 616.60
3) MRPL CMP 57.25
4) Sterlite Optical CMP 113.15
5) India Cements CMP 113.5 : I know this is recommended by you earlier in this forum. Is this a good entry at this stage. Regards
Hi tradebull..
Wellwin...11 is stiff resistance and tried and fallen off before. Doing the same today. I'd take it passing 13 with volume.
Hyderabad Ind. has been climbing steadily 2-3 months by over Rs.300. It's too high now for any entry at this point. How much further it'll go, can't say.
MRPL...the buzz is it's heading for 70. It'll probably get there by and by. But there, it'll be topping an earlier peak, and for me it would be interesting to watch it past there. Will be slow I feel, but a safe defensive counter. The related counters here are all dependant on govt. policies.
Sterlite has had its peak at 125 recently, and is in a downtrend corrective phase. Will have to watch this for now.
India Cements was a better buy at 99 when called. Has a pretty good run left from the current 114 levels in the mid term, and will move quicker past 115-117. You could take it if you like. Strict s/l 109.
Regards.
 

AMITBE

Well-Known Member
kravindran said:
Hi Amitbe,

nrc moving again, what is the target pls ??

Regards,
Karuna
Hi Karuna...I'd book partial profits and trail stop for now. Has not really moved past 74 convincingly yet.
Cheers.
 
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