Some of my forecasts

[McNish]

Hello Paul,
Just when Ankit asked me to follow your thread, I see u r prioritizing your time for you health, wealth and family. What can I say dear, "All the very best". But U know what! I bet you half your earnings and all of mine too, that you'll be here and back to postings even before you turn over to the next chapter in your book of life. You know Why? COZ IT'S TRADERJI'S FORUM and not some market blog or such sort.
So while you are away and before you are back, I'll read up on your posts, fund my account and make lots of money (as I may have to part it to you if you don't come back which is highly unlikely thus I will get to keep it too. :lol: ).
There you go Ankit, another one fly's the sky's - Freebird, Nevermind!
Cheers !!! Manish. :clapping:

 

[ashwani chadha]

ive run into some time and logistical problems, which is building up to what i need to say. I am going to be leaving traderji, as far as posting is concerned, at least temporarily. The problem is (can i really call it that?) i love what i do passionately. This goes beyond a job, but a hobby that i love to do. As a result, i just go full bore into everything i do concerning this, which includes my involvement with posting and responding, and even the fun that the camaraderie brings. As a result, of being so much more involved than i need to, other things in my life suffer, such as my blog, my social life, and even a part of my health.
Let me say very humbly that it really has been a pleasure to be a part of this site in the very short time i have been here. You people on this site are the very best i have met anywhere on the internet. Imo, traderji is the very best forum on the internet. If i decide to post some more in the future, i am definitely coming back right here. Im also very thankful that traderji has kept such a clean site. I have some high moral values about myself, and it has been a breath of fresh air to come here and relax.
I will be unsubscribing to all of the threads except here and 4xpipcounters trendlines. I will keep myself open to these two threads only if someone has a question concerning me leaving, because i want to be clear with everyone.
Thanks again for viewing. It has been appreciated.

dear paul, since last six months ,i was not getting any thing new , so that i can give some more modification, to my already extremly modified and perfect mts,in march i spent more then 20 hours to read all your previous posts, to get some thing new,and i got it ,and started modified system from 1.4.2011,i acknowledged it previously on my thred,and now i acknowledge it to you also,your posts were quite help full to me,in stead of leaving,if you open just one thread,and give half hour for leaving one post every day may be on nifty,it will be off great help to every body, rest decision is yours thanks

 

[4xpipcounter]

First, I have read everyone's posts, just to make sure there was nothing of any great specificity I needed to address.I sincerely feel humbled that my posts and forecasts were of the value I intended.

Ashwani, as far as your post is concerned, you might need to understand my consuming makeup. With me, it would not, and could not ever be a point of just one post per day. This is part of the reason I have put all my focus in my blog.

I hope that answered your question, but if you PM me, I'll be able to address some other things that may be helpful.

 

[ashwani chadha]

First, I have read everyone's posts, just to make sure there was nothing of any great specificity I needed to address.I sincerely feel humbled that my posts and forecasts were of the value I intended.

Ashwani, as far as your post is concerned, you might need to understand my consuming makeup. With me, it would not, and could not ever be a point of just one post per day. This is part of the reason I have put all my focus in my blog.

I hope that answered your question, but if you PM me, I'll be able to address some other things that may be helpful.

dear paul,
i am raw ,as far as forex trading is concerned, in next few months, i will start and will need your guidence,as far as my current system is concerned at some point ,where i will require some expert guidence,i will send pm to you, thanks for your co-operation

 

[ashwani chadha]

Yesterday, 09:02 PM
ashwani chadha
Member Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 1,382
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Re: how much return you expect from commodity market

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Quote:
Originally Posted by ashwani chadha
one:move to move trading
two:correction to correction trading
three:move to correction trading

one person in whom knowledge i have full faith is mr paul, as i felt due to some disciplinary reasons he has discontinued giving posts at his thred,if i have to ask this question from only one person,then it was only mr paul, from whom i can expect 100% perfect answer to this question but now i am asking this question from viewers of this thread before i explain how these three type of trading are different with each other QUESTION IS WHICH ARE THE TWO INDICATORS WHICH HELP US TO DISTINGISH AMONG THREE TYPE OF MOVES(i expect that at least six or seven regular viewers should atleast guiss even if it proves to be wrong

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HOW ARE YOU MR.PAUL,I HOPE YOU ARE ENJOYING AND CONCENTRATING ON MORE IMPORTANT ISSUES,BEST OF LUCK

 

[sanjosedesi]

one person in whom knowledge i have full faith is mr paul, as i felt due to some disciplinary reasons he has discontinued giving posts at his thred,if i have to ask this question from only one person,then it was only mr paul, from whom i can expect 100% perfect answer to this question but now i am asking this question from viewers of this thread before i explain how these three type of trading are different with each other QUESTION IS WHICH ARE

#1. i do not think there was any disciplinary action
#2. paul had too many things going on; wanted to just use one forum; and is using his blog
#3. he is not hard to find. just google for his user name

 

[ashwani chadha]

#1. i do not think there was any disciplinary action
#2. paul had too many things going on; wanted to just use one forum; and is using his blog
#3. he is not hard to find. just google for his user name

i just said that mr paul has left this forum just for disciplinary reasons with his own willing ness not that diciplinary action was taken against him(it means during last days due to what so ever reason,he was dissatisfied from the dicipline of the forum)

 

[4xpipcounter]

Hi everyone!. After some consideration of some priorities I have, and in consideration I miss posting on this forum, I decided to come back.
I guess another thing that did not make it easy on me was getting e-mails from followers on my blog telling me how different people from Traderji wanted me back. The only thing I can say to that is, "Thank-you!"

I plan on going back to my normal forecasting and taking requests, answering questions, and enjoy all comments and the dialogues that go with it.

I also want to say I have been on a few forums, and I honestly mean it, I think Traderji is the best. I've gather from many the respect that most have on this forum. I'm also very happy of the support from the moderators.

Let me also say if I do a disappearing act for any length of time, it will be because of something of higher priority that took me away. My personal trading and my blog are higher priorities, along with things like vacations and social gatherings--lol.

BTW, I do have a vacation coming up. The 1st week in August is the only one I take where I have no cell phones or am in contact with a computer. This year it begins Aug. 5th and I'll be back Aug. 11th, maybe as late as the 13th.

My weekly S&R's, Weekly Review, and this week's Weekly Forecast, along with my forecast on Nifty are all coming up.

 

[4xpipcounter]

Weekly Forecast--072411

EUR/USD: This pair could be in for a further drop to start the week. The 4-hour kijun is 1.4287, which should be initial support, and then the tenken is 1.4226. Add to that my WS1 is 1.4238, and that should be sufficient support. If I am wrong, then we could get a drop to the WS2 at 1.4122, and then things will look more sideways for the week. The favorable scenario is for 1.4226 to be containment for the week. The WR1 at 1.4474 appears to be an ideal target.
Another thing to look for in this pair is if we get to circa 1.4550, then look for a more appreciable reversal, if not some strong consolidation. In essence, once there, the UP will be over for awhile.

USD/JPY: This pair is headed lower, a correction of the drop is still needed. The 1st sign that the correction has begun is a firm break of the 4-hour TL at 78.63. This weeks containment to the trip south should be the WS1 at 78.20. Just in case it is needed, the WS2 is 77.89. Once the 4-hour TL is broken, then there will be a lot of mounting R this pair will run into. Expect the WR2 at 79.12 to be hit, and the WR3 at 79.63 could very well be in range.
MT, I would look for this correction process to end at 80.4480.75.

GBP/USD: This pair could be extremely volatile this week. MT indications show that a strong reversal is due. OTOH, it is hard to see a much further fall beyond the WS1 at 1.6112. The fall could also be violent from the WR1 at 1.6390. The top of the daily cloud is also 1.6400.
It is not too often that I can only forsee a 2-level move within the context of my weeklies, but that is the case this week. Yet, it is also possible to see a strong breakout after the move south has been completed.

USD/CHF: Current area figures to be containment. At the very least, we are in the middle of a MT correction. Strong Rs should be watched at the top of the 4-hour cloud at .8298 and the WR2 at .8295 and the daily kijun at .8313. Afterward, we will probably see a move to the daily TL at .8377 and the WR3 at .8378.

EUR/CHF: The move north should continue this week. Similar to the USD/CHF, the circa current level should be containment. The WR1 is 1.1891 and the MS2 is 1.1902. Next stop should be the WR2 at 1.2028, with a spike to the weekly tenken at 1.2066. The bottom of the daily cloud should contain at 1.2222.

AUD/USD: Current level should result in another move south for this pair. In case something happens, then the WR1 at 1.0936 will be containment. My Ws2 at 1.0689 is very strong S, and it is containment.
I get the feeling this pair is in a wide open consolidation waiting for a longer term new high .

USD/CAD: This pair is headed higher this week. The WS1 is .9420, which is containment to the south. The WR2 is .9595 and the daily tenken is .9599, which make for a nice confluence of containment for the week

NZD/USD: AS far as the MT is concerned, watch for this pair. It is getting ready for a huge reversal. The monthly is ready to go, but the daily and weekly charts are still in huge momentous UP channels. Its a matter of time when the monthly will still the show.
For this week the WR1 at .8713 has to be containment for any thoughts north. There is plenty of room for the WS2 to be hit at .8494. A comfortable break under .8247 will signal the reversal has begun.

EUR/GBP: There wont be a lot of room for this pair to move this week. It will take a strong spike and reversal to get to the WS1 at .8765. There is strong cluster R at .8892, which includes my WR2 at .8889.

EUR/JPY: This pair will probably head lower in the future, but for now a correction of the MT DOWN is due. The WS1 at 111.95 is containment. The WR1 is 113.56. Very strong R is in the 114.34114.91, which will be containment. After strong break under under the MS3 earlier in the month, the MS2 is worth watching for at 114.34. The WR2 is 114.38.

GBP/JPY: After going east last week, this pair is ready to break out through the roof. Keep in mind, this is only a correction, but the weekly tenken is a viable target this week at 129.94. The WR3 is 129.77. Any move south should be contained by the WS1 at 127.49.

 

[4xpipcounter]

EUR/USD: Another attempt at cluster S should be seen this week at 1.3833. There is lots of ST R up above, so it is not expected to see much of a correction this week. What would be ideal is to see a move to the WS2 at 1.3801. That would be a reversal sign that would be even stronger than last weeks.

As it turned out it made the attempt at 1.3833, but was stopped at the WS1 at 1.4034, as the dip was 1.4012. From there, it took off to the peak at 1.4034.

USD/JPY: There should be a recovery back to the TL break at 80.43, which also happens to be the WR2. That circa area should contain for a return to the move south.

It was the smallest of corrections as the peak for the week was 79.31, as the dip was 78.13.

GBP/USD: There will be a move back to the TL break of 1.6083, with a possible move to the MP at 1.6038. 1.6248 represents a very strong R. That area can be viewed as a decision point.

We had the spike through the MP as the dip was 1.6002. I featured this pair earlier in the week when I show the gigantic move through the 1.6248 level, as the peak for the week was. 1.6338.

USD/CHF: There is still momentum point south for this pair, as it could be expected for the WS1 at .8064 to be hit, and possibly the WS2 at .7977. Afterward, a recovery of this dip containment should be seen at the 4-hour kijun at .8236, which also represents a confluence of R. MT, it now appears this pair is headed even lower, as .7858 seems to be a reasonable target on the MT downside.

We came short of the WS1 as the dip was .8094, and then the pair headed to .8246.

EUR/CHF: The WS1 is 1.1419 and the WS2 is 1.1302. One of those levels should be containment for any trip south this week. For now 1.1752 appears to be very strong R. Things are also about to get consolidative for this pair before we see another leg south, which should take us to the sub1.1000 region.

This pair featured only a minor spike on the other side of the WS1 to 1.1404. During the week, before the pair hit 1.1752, I forecasted this pair would break it and head to the MS2 at 1.1910. As it turned out the UP was stopped at 1.1877.

AUD/USD: Containment this week should be the area of the MP at 1.0708 and the WR1 at 1.0727. Another leg further south is still favorable, as WS1 at 1.0575 is a viable target, however, look for the confluence of the WS2 at 1.0498 and the MS2 at 1.0496, along with that area being the weekly TL to contain price action.


Only a slight spike on the other side of the WS1 took the pair to 1.0558. The reversal was stronger than expected as the peak was 1.0873.

USD/CAD: The WR2 represents strong confluence of R for this pair, and the downside is looking at tough support at the WS1 at .9459.

I did not mention the level of the WR2, but was mentioned in the post for the S&Rs, but it was .9672. WE only had a peak at .9633, which represented only a spike on the other side of the WR1 at .9601. The reversal took us to the dip at .9421, which was more than just a spike on the other side of the WS1.

NZD/USD: The WR1 at .8572 should be containment to the north this week. I would also look for reaction around that point. It could signal a reversal.

The peak was .8672, just 9 pips away from the WR2, so it di rise higher than expected.

EUR/GBP: The circa area of the weekly kijun at .8705 could be containment this week. The other level to look for is my WS1 at .8727. A recovery to the north is now favorable, but the area 0f .8846 to the daily tenken at .8874 should contain.


The dip went just 2 pips on the other side of the weekly kijun at .8703, and then the reversal took us to the peak at .8853, which was only a wick spike on the other side of the .8846 level.

EUR/JPY: A correction is the strong DOWN seems favorable this week. The trip north should be contained anywhere from 114.30 to the WR2 at 114.88.


The week started off continuing slightly in the DOWN as the dip was 110.64, just 8 pips above the WS1. That limited the upside potential, as the peak was 113.56.

GBP/JPY: Similar to the EUR/JPY, a correction to the WR2 at 130.09 could be forthcoming, but the implications are not as strong as its cousin.

This pair went more east than anything else as the peak was 128.38
Stay tuned for this one when the Weekly Forecast comes out.