Stocks To Keep A Close Eye On

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SavantGarde

Well-Known Member
Yes...Goofy Man,

I remember the film....quite vividly... Aradhana


SavantGarde



Mr. SG,
The day you left I posted: Maali chalaa gayaa, aur bagiyaa ke saare phool murjhaa gaye!

Now the Maali has returned. He should ask the bagiyaa:

[COLOR="Purple"]Baagon mein bahaar hai?[/COLOR]
Haan hai!
Kalion pe nikhaar hai?
Haan hai!
Tum ko mujhse payaar hai?
Haan hai...Na, na, na..!
 

talisman

Well-Known Member
It’s not the onset of winter but rather, it’s the sagas of corruption we are being bombarded with on a daily basis. Considering the events of past few days when market has sought excuses to make us poorer, whether its rumoured resignation of our PM or Korean War or Ireland crisis, it is rather fitting to discover LIC scandal just when market seemed a bit normal than usual with less volatility. Fear is contagious and no wonder, the way market tanked in last hour or so, seems in sync with prevailing mood.

Looking at the new flow and CBI statement, it is hard to figure the magnitude of the scandal or whether it’s a full fledged corporate scam or just a case of bribery. Naina Kidwai was saying that an event of this magnitude can not be performed by a single entity and it has to be a giant collaboration among the powers that be. When officials holding higher positions like CEO, DGM, GM etc are being held and that too in a single day, something must be quite serious.

First the Bloomberg mentioned name of “Money Matters Financial” and it was already into lower circuit 20%. Though premature on my part but I guess, it is going to suffer worst than SKS Microfinance in coming days. Now news channels are saying, more than 30 corporate houses are involved in the case which completely nullifies what Deepak Parekh was claiming which was of, this being a one-off case. No doubt, LIC is going to suffer some more setbacks but BOI, PNB and Central Bank are also going to see some downside. Interestingly, it is only the name of the Bribe Takers that are highlighted by the channels and not many Real estate developers are being named. As far as downside is concerned, I suspect the trickledown effect percolating down to other PSUs but that also gives a nice opportunity to get into some of those high-flying banking stocks next week when the dust will settle down a bit.

I guess, more correction will take place only when we will have complete knowledge of types of fraud cases or types of loans or possible loss to shareholders. On the positive side, I think only 2 companies in India enjoy nationwide trust of such grand proportions, LIC and SBI. Plus, all these companies are government controlled. More so, India has built its reputation as one country with perhaps strongest banking system. Add to that, incoming IPOs/FPOs and I think, Indian government will be more than quick to settle the dust whether through underplaying the quantum of scam or announcing quick redressal.

Lastly, we don’t really expect Indian businesses to have perfect moral and ethical values. Corruption is a way of life. Someone had rightly said, ""Life is a corrupting process from the time a child learns to play his mother off against his father in the politics of when to go to bed; he who fears corruption fears life." It’s just that, things have been exposed so we are having negative reactions. And in any case, Indian public is quite forgiving and we don’t really like to hold grudges against the corporate for a longer time frame. :p…This too shall pass away…

Okay..okay..I am seeing some sleepy faces..:p

And Yes, Welcome Back Sir...Good to see purple balm all over again...:)
 

columbus

Well-Known Member
I don't understand how bribe taking can be considered scam? This is India! Whats the big fuss about? :D

When I saw LIC Housing Finance down 18%, other stocks were holding up fine. Tata Steel was @ 620 levels. Everything looked fine. Suddenly, the entire market collapsed. Strong Companies that have nothing to do with finance also went down. :)
I think CONG has learnt lessons in hard way ,in BIHAR elections.
If they want to stay in power NO to Scams.
No commomwealth scam,No 2G-spectrum scam,No LIC scam ....etc.
 

SavantGarde

Well-Known Member
Hi Jay,

Could have never commented any better myself ....than you did....

Already....seeing....great thrust on the channels....at the play down.... increasingly individuals getting the stick instead of the companies...in terms of commentary

Thanks for the welcome back


SavantGarde

Its not the onset of winter but rather, its the sagas of corruption we are being bombarded with on a daily basis. Considering the events of past few days when market has sought excuses to make us poorer, whether its rumoured resignation of our PM or Korean War or Ireland crisis, it is rather fitting to discover LIC scandal just when market seemed a bit normal than usual with less volatility. Fear is contagious and no wonder, the way market tanked in last hour or so, seems in sync with prevailing mood.

Looking at the new flow and CBI statement, it is hard to figure the magnitude of the scandal or whether its a full fledged corporate scam or just a case of bribery. Naina Kidwai was saying that an event of this magnitude can not be performed by a single entity and it has to be a giant collaboration among the powers that be. When officials holding higher positions like CEO, DGM, GM etc are being held and that too in a single day, something must be quite serious.

First the Bloomberg mentioned name of Money Matters Financial and it was already into lower circuit 20%. Though premature on my part but I guess, it is going to suffer worst than SKS Microfinance in coming days. Now news channels are saying, more than 30 corporate houses are involved in the case which completely nullifies what Deepak Parekh was claiming which was of, this being a one-off case. No doubt, LIC is going to suffer some more setbacks but BOI, PNB and Central Bank are also going to see some downside. Interestingly, it is only the name of the Bribe Takers that are highlighted by the channels and not many Real estate developers are being named. As far as downside is concerned, I suspect the trickledown effect percolating down to other PSUs but that also gives a nice opportunity to get into some of those high-flying banking stocks next week when the dust will settle down a bit.

I guess, more correction will take place only when we will have complete knowledge of types of fraud cases or types of loans or possible loss to shareholders. On the positive side, I think only 2 companies in India enjoy nationwide trust of such grand proportions, LIC and SBI. Plus, all these companies are government controlled. More so, India has built its reputation as one country with perhaps strongest banking system. Add to that, incoming IPOs/FPOs and I think, Indian government will be more than quick to settle the dust whether through underplaying the quantum of scam or announcing quick redressal.

Lastly, we dont really expect Indian businesses to have perfect moral and ethical values. Corruption is a way of life. Someone had rightly said, ""Life is a corrupting process from the time a child learns to play his mother off against his father in the politics of when to go to bed; he who fears corruption fears life." Its just that, things have been exposed so we are having negative reactions. And in any case, Indian public is quite forgiving and we dont really like to hold grudges against the corporate for a longer time frame. :pThis too shall pass away

Okay..okay..I am seeing some sleepy faces..:p

And Yes, Welcome Back Sir...Good to see purple balm all over again...:)
 

Goofy

Well-Known Member
Guy, I am going for dinner. First

Second. I don't have worries anymore wherther Nifty goes up or down - or just does break-dance sideways.

Why?

There is a scene in the film Matrix, in which Neo wonders aloud how he could dodge the bullets the way the 'bad guy' did.

Morpheus smiles and replies: When you are ready. You won't have to.

Mr. SG know what I am talking about. See you in a while!
 

SavantGarde

Well-Known Member
Hi RajeABC,

Thank You

I am not recommending any IPO/FPO at this point.... will review HINDCOPPER when the Price Band is released....otherwise secondary market will start looking deliciously juicy....in a bit more downside....



SavantGarde

Savant Sir ,
good to have you back.

Should I apply for MOIL or should preserve my cash for secondary market(specially for LIC HF , SBI may be available at good price in few days ) ?
I remember you comment that you will prefer MOIL over SCI .

Thanks
 

SavantGarde

Well-Known Member
Hi Goofy,

You enjoy your dinner... while I settle for boiled egg & horse radish spread sandwich...:)


SavantGarde

Guy, I am going for dinner. First

Second. I don't have worries anymore wherther Nifty goes up or down - or just does break-dance sideways.

Why?

There is a scene in the film Matrix, in which Neo wonders aloud how he could dodge the bullets the way the 'bad guy' did.

Morpheus smiles and replies: When you are ready. You won't have to.

Mr. SG know what I am talking about. See you in a while!
 
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