Vicky, Balram, Doc & Everybody Else Interested,
Vicky,
I Thought You Would Be Able To Crack It.....Especially After Giving You The Clue That It Was Based On 20 & 50 DMA
Hmmmmm......Ok Here It Goes While It Is Simple It Is Quite Powerful For Short Term Investors.
To Illustrate, I Have Taken The First One From My Post Of 5th April Which Is HDIL
HDIL CMP On 05/04/2009 Was 101.55 While The High Was 103.15
20 DMA Crossed Over On The Upside Of 50 DMA On That Day Thus Triggering A BUY For The Following Day
Since The High Was 103.15, It Was Told To BUY @ 103.15
Stop Loss Was 77.50 Is The 50 DMA Crossing Over 20 DMA Whenever That Happened In The Past....Therefore The Stop Loss Of 77.50
Now Coming To The Target Price
BUY Price - Stop Loss = 25.65 + 103.15 (BUY Price) = 128.80 (1st Target)Extra 5 Paise Added As Your Bonus....
Does That Solve The Mystery Of How The Target Price Is Achieved....
I Guess It Does......
If The Market Is Volatile & Range Bound There Is Another Trick For A Trailing Stop Loss & Exit.
Lets Say On The 6th You Bought At 103.15 & After Buying You Immediately Kept A Stop Loss Of 77.50 (50 DMA)
Now The Following Day To Trail The Move, You Calculate A New Stop Loss For 49 DMA, Whatever Figure You Get Becomes The New Stop Loss For That Day.
So On & So Forth You Keep Reducing 1 Day From DMA Calculation For Each Day Elapsed From The Date Of Entry, Reducing Till You Reach 10 DMA After Which You Don't Reduce The DMA Calculation..... Simple !!!
Vicky, Break Your Head Over The Quantity Of Shares To Be Bought, You Have 7 Days From Today To Come Up With The Answer....
Happy & Safer Trading
SavantGarde
Savant Sir,
With respect to the above explanation given by you as quoted above I have this query:
You say 20 Day MA crossed over 50 Day MA on 5-4-09 and CMP on that was 101.55 and High was 103.15. The cross over actually happened on 9-4-09. The CMP & High you referred were on 2-4-09, not on 5-4-09. On the crossover day the CMP(Close) was118.95 and High was 122.8.
For calculation of SL and target you mentioned SL of 77.50 being the Close of the day when the previous 50 Day MA crossed over 20 Day MA. This cross over has happened on 30-1-09. But the CMP on that day was 96.55. The CMP of 77.50 which you mentioned was actually on 20-02-09 much later than the cross over day.
I have these data from NSE EOD prices. So, there is a vast difference between the prices you have given and the actual prices. I want to know whether there was a mistake or whether I have not understood the concept of 20 DMA/50 DMA cross over.
Please explain at your convenience.
Thanks
*** Uma ***