anant, till now i was only a fan of savant sir & murtaza bhai, but you have impressed me immensly with your selfless dedication & logical insight.
true knowledge always touches my heart.
" i hereby certify to be your greatest fan "
cheers
rishi xx
Hi Chaitanya, (pure knowledge speaks)
Let me explain this with an example. In Chapter II, I have given the Buy Triggers generated today. Let us take the example of GTLINFRA. Today GTLINFRA has closed at 37.20 (NSE price) and reached a high of 38.65. It has a made a low of 34.10 on 22-7-09. Using these values we calculate the Target and SL as Follows:
STOP LOSS = RECENT LOW = 34.10 (I have rounded this to 34, as we should have SL a little below calculated value).
TARGET = 2 times High minus Stop Loss = 2 X 38.65 - 34.1 = 77.3 -34.1 = 43.2
This is the way I calculate initial SL (There are other ways of calculating SL).The trailing SL will be same as the initial SL till a new LOW is made during retracement which is higher than the initial SL. Once a new higher LOW is made (during a retracement) the Trailing SL will move up to that value and the same process continues till either the SL is hit or a SELL triggered.
For any clarification please do post.
Regards
-Anant
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Hi Raj,
CNB has almost explained on my behalf. Still I will put my version here for the benefit of all.
I am using AmiBroker and written a program (AFL) to generate the signals. I have selected a set of around 200 stocks and run the AFL on this set every evening after updating the quotes for the day. This AFL outputs the stock names which have satisfied a condition to signal a BUY or SELL. The condition is built into the AFL. Along with the Buy triggers the AFL also gives that day's Closing price, the Stop Loss and Expected Target price calculated according to the formula given earlier in this thread. After getting this output I visually see the charts of these triggered stocks just to verify that everything is ok. For example, when BHARTIARTL was split, I had not adjusted the data and I got the Sell signal for it. But after seeing the chart I realised the mistake and corrected it. I am testing this system by live paper trading. That means I actually place an order and get the actual purchase price during the market hours. But the order is a dummy and no real BUY/SELL action is taken. I do this to simulate the exact conditions which we face when we really do the trading.
This AFL is not a proprietary program nor it is going to patented or copy protected. Once I have the sufficient evidence that it does give good profitable results I will post it in this forum for all to use it and suggest modifications, corrections etc.
This AFL is not very complicated. I am making it so simple that even with an excel sheet or a simple calculator you can get the signals. A charting program like AmiBroker helps in filtering a large number of stocks. If you have just a few stocks you can use a spreadsheet. A few months EOD data is sufficient.
I request you just wait a little and go through the signals and follow up posted in Chapter II and have a feel of how it is performing. You can post your comments and questions here. I will try to answer to the best of my ability.
@CNB,
It is possible to program the trailing stop loss. What we require is to define the previous trough (low value). In AmiBroker you can do it with the function Trough(Array, Change, n=1)
Regards
-Anant
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