11/06/2012 Monday
Hi all,
Just last week our PM gave us a 9000 km (carrot in the name) of Road projects. Plus other infra utilities like airport, elevated rail for Mumbai and other cities, plus the biggest Viagra of all which was badly needed
"Lowering of Interest rates".
And oh boy! this Viagra in the name of Lowering Interest rate(s) helped to sustain the over all rally. Wow! Viagra's do work as they say.
But today most of it fizzled out when S&P just sneezed a little stating that "India would loose it's investment grade status due to Fiscal Deficit, Slowing GDP, Political road blocks to economic reforms etc."
India has BBB- (the lowest investment grade) in BRIC.
We have had political road blocks since telecom scam broke out and from that time till now there has been a road blocks or reform blocks by one UPA partner or the other in mostly all the reforms.
So why is S&P acting now?
Every one knows that for every action there is a equal n opposite reaction.
Action
Cancellation of 122 telecom licences by our honorable SC.
Pranab swelled his retrospective sword against Vodaphone and did not listen to any one in this regards.
Reaction
Foreign telecom companies threatened arbitrary proceedings as per the respective treaty signed by India with their country.
S&P not only killed the investment opportunities that were coming to India by lowering the outlook to negative in last April, but has virtually put a fire wall for investments coming in India in the name of India loosing its investment grade.
In Politics and Business what you see is never really there but what you really perceive is the reality.
See the unseen and known the unknown is the real Mantra to sustain in any and all markets.
Market knows it all, and by the virtue of the trading price of various stocks and commodities it tells every thing before the news comes in the public domain.
So the question raises are...
- Can Lowering of Paltry Interest Rate by RBI really elevate the market?
- Does the comment of S&P has more weightage that it can nullify every thing what our PM says in terms of growth about our country?
- Or is our PM really not worthy enough to be taken seriously?
Well! we will leave those questions to be decided by the market, because when ever the question of money is discussed or at stake, the general view that is been played by all is one and the same "saree duniya dari ek taraf aur jitna ho sakay utna sara paisa meri taraf."
And we are no different. So we always follow the market by virtue of the price
"breaching or not breaching a level" as this indicates to us what should we know and what to perceive.
And the fact of matter is we only perceive (see) money weather the market falls or rallies, and in every situation our levels gives us the required comfort to trade with manageable SL.
Tomorrows range is 5117 - 5040 with 5080 as the trend setter.
SL levels below 5040 are in between 5020 and 5000 with 5000 as the last SL
Above 5117 its 5156
5120 is 38.2 Fibonacci level of 5700 - 4760 swing. NF reversed from 5124
4775 is 38.2 Fibonacci level of 6349 - 2228 swing. NF found support at 4760
Market is between two 38.2 Fibonacci levels, lets see which one is taken out.
Bye