MONEY MANAGEMENT
We look at a trade,yummy,yummy trade..........a beautiful clean sideways pattern just itching to breakout.Our plan is to buy the breakout and ride the trend ,trail stopping upwards at every pivot low.Cool.So far so good.We now need to ascertain how many shares we plan to buy.For example,the stop is Rs20 away from our entry point.Right,do we buy 10 shares(which means we lose Rs 200 if stopped),or do we buy a 100 shares(which means we lose Rs 2000 if stopped),or a 1000 shares(which means we lose Rs 20000 if stopped)?
The amount of money lost if stopped is the risk on this trade.Don't let it get past 2% of your equity.Which means,first calculation is:How much Capital do I have in my trading Account?(trad acct only,not the worth of your house and car and jewellery all put together).
Let us say that I have 10 lakhs in my trading account,that means the maximum risk that I can take on any single trade is :2% of 10 lakhs=20,000.
Which is to say that if I enter into a trade,and the trade goes against me,I will lose Rs20000.
So whether you paid 2.5 lakhs for that stock or not,you are not risking 2.5 lakhs,but Rs20000,as that is where your stop is.
Now must it definitely be 2% of the capital...........not necessarily.Can be anywhere between 0.5-2%,but no more than that.I personally use 0.75% of my capital as a stop loss,but that is something you have to tweak to your comfort levels.But,to stress again,no more than 2%!
So,therefore,first I look at my trading capital at the end of the month.I then assess how much my risk would be the next month.For example,let us say I have 10 lakhs at the end of July.Let us say I take 1% loss in each trade.Therefore for the month of August,I would be risking Rs10,000 per trade(to reiterate,that means the amount lost if stopped out).
Now I have my ups and downs in August,and landed up in August with an equity of 10.5 lakhs,now my risk in the month of September would be 1% of 10.5lakhs=10,500 per trade.
So too,if my equity had dropped that month to 9.5lakhs,then my risk of 1% for the following month would be 9,500 per trade..............so on so forth!!
Right,I now know my trading capital,the amount of percentage risk that I am willing to take,and the amount of money risked for the following month at the end of each month.........now how do I calculate share size:
Share Size=(% risk xtrading capital) divided by (entry-predetermined stoploss)
So,therefore,we look at our charts,we get our entry point let us say 200,and our stop loss is at 175.Now presuming our capital is 10lakhs,and our percentage risk per trade is 1%.
Therefore,Share Size=(1% of 10lakhs)divided by (200-175)
=10,000 divided by 25
=400
Therefore in the above example we would buy 400 shares with an entry at 200 with a predetermined stop loss at 175 .The max.we should lose in this trade if stopped would be Rs10,000/=
The 2% rule for assessing position sizing is vital,but there is more to be done.We'll go through the rest...........maybe tomorrow!!