hi saint ,
how are you ? felt good at your response,
well, all the things you have been teaching here are gems and i would like to ask you whether the chart patterns are reliable in forex markets? little out on my track, but really curious????
i have demo A/c, i see your fav. pivot highs and low work really good on forex, but chart patterns here are really less reliable.
wht do u say??
thanxs
winston
Hi Winston,
A chart pattern merely tells us where we might possibly go from here......if we get an ascending triangle after an uptrend,we accept the sideways movement as nothing but a pause in its uptrend.We are therefore expecting a move out of this triangle to the up,and resume its uptrend.Can an ascending triangle break down?Surely........well,this we call a failed pattern.So either way,it qualifies as a chart pattern
The beauty of any sideways movement,be it just some sideways consolidation,or a symm triangle or any of the triangles,is that we get to enter into the stock at minimal risk with a stop just below the base formed.
So,use the chart patterns as a low risk entry point,instead of its predictive value in the future direction that it is headed........a breakout and a pullback gives a great entry as we latch on to a stock threatening to take off.A failed breakout,.....no probs,we reverse directions,and short it to glory.Either way,chart patterns come in handy,although knowing it is not an absolute necessity.
As for forex mkts,you will have to assess what really works there.....I used to trade failure patterns day in and day out in the US markets.In the Indian mkts,classical patterns seem to work.......so depends,you have to check it out yourself.
All the best!
Happy Trading!
Saint