Hi Sanefellow,
Great question......once again,apologies for the delay in answering your question.
As for an answer to your question,simply,we don't........we really cannot say for sure that this correction is going to be that one that will see a correction in the weekly charts as well.
But we have some ways to anticipate it.........few reasons to get nervous on the NIFTY over the last few weeks.We have a way overbought Stochastics ,the last time we saw Oversold was in October last year.We have a negative divergence on the TRIX and the RSI.We know that an important correction is coming,but as trend followers should,we do NOT predict a move.......opening the weekly charts,we have a way overbought Stochs and negative divergence on the RSI.Again,we know that a correction is in the offing,but we ride the trend till we see a break in it.So far,no break,we are fine.......
Now,we get this important break and a finish at the end of the day (monday)below our all important trendline.This intermediate uptrend that we have been playing from October till now is over.Nothing to do with long time frames,they are still very bullish.
As far as we are concerned,we are out of all longs,and now look to short every rally till once again things change to the up.The rally yesterday means nothing,except some intraday gains,and then today another big fall of 826pts.Looking at the weekly charts,nothing but a pullback.....but trendlines and a few indicators and a topping tail on the weekly gets the intermediate frame trader to get out early.
And as trend followers,we are not concerned to get out at an absolute top or bottom.We just want to get as much meat as possible in the middle.
Basically,important to integrate both the time frames.........it will all come as you pour over thousands of charts.
All the best!
Saint
Great question......once again,apologies for the delay in answering your question.
As for an answer to your question,simply,we don't........we really cannot say for sure that this correction is going to be that one that will see a correction in the weekly charts as well.
But we have some ways to anticipate it.........few reasons to get nervous on the NIFTY over the last few weeks.We have a way overbought Stochastics ,the last time we saw Oversold was in October last year.We have a negative divergence on the TRIX and the RSI.We know that an important correction is coming,but as trend followers should,we do NOT predict a move.......opening the weekly charts,we have a way overbought Stochs and negative divergence on the RSI.Again,we know that a correction is in the offing,but we ride the trend till we see a break in it.So far,no break,we are fine.......
Now,we get this important break and a finish at the end of the day (monday)below our all important trendline.This intermediate uptrend that we have been playing from October till now is over.Nothing to do with long time frames,they are still very bullish.
As far as we are concerned,we are out of all longs,and now look to short every rally till once again things change to the up.The rally yesterday means nothing,except some intraday gains,and then today another big fall of 826pts.Looking at the weekly charts,nothing but a pullback.....but trendlines and a few indicators and a topping tail on the weekly gets the intermediate frame trader to get out early.
And as trend followers,we are not concerned to get out at an absolute top or bottom.We just want to get as much meat as possible in the middle.
Basically,important to integrate both the time frames.........it will all come as you pour over thousands of charts.
All the best!
Saint
I have discovered this thread a couple of days back and 'have been reading since then. This has been a great work and it is making trading looks simpler than actually it is. This is the real character of a "good teacher".
I am very new to trading and have many queries to be clarified. To begin with, I have the following questions. You have said, "We have a way overbought Stochastics ,the last time we saw Oversold was in October last year.We have a negative divergence on the TRIX and the RSI." in the daily & weekly charts of "C&P CNX NIFTY". Now what are Stochastics and negative divergence on the TRIX and RSI ? How do you say that it is overbought and other negative divergence? Hope you won't mind to clarify!!
I have gaining confidence after going through your posts and 'am constantly telling myself that I shall follow the simple techniques you have taught us for trading purpose.
Thanking you.
Regards,
Nick