GBP/USD Elliott Wave Count for February 20, 2012
Market Overview
The GBP/USD pair was trading in a bullish mood for last few days. After we saw positive Retail Sales m/m from England this major pair reached a new 6 days high around 1.5860 level on Friday. In a New York session gbp/usd pair tried to go lower but There was Bad reports from USA that bring this pair to new high 1.5870.Today this major pair start in downward move, price is currently 1.5850 and we are expecting to see price testing 50 EMA support today around 1.5810 level. USA have bank holiday so we do not expect big change in this pair today.
Support and Resistance levels
(S3) 1.5751 (S2) 1.5779 (S1) 1.5796 (PP) 1.5823 (R1) 1.5851 (R2) 1.5868 (R3) 1.5895
GBP/USD Elliott Wave Analysis
The GBP/USD finished i wave today at 1.5877, and we are currently in wave ii. according to our wave rules and taking into consideration that wave ii will retrace 50 or 61.8% of wave i we can project our targets with Fibonacci retrace(1.5654-1.5877) to the first take profit level at 1.5767(50% retrace) and second take profit at 1.5740(61.8%)/For stop loss we can use resistance at 1.5890.
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules the trend is expected to begin the downward movement to go lower today. That is why Short position at levels 1.5845 with Stop Loss at 1.5890, Take Profit at 1.5767 and Take Profit 2 at 1.5740 are recommended
Performed by Nicola Delic, Analytical expert