CE Data Analysis:
5300, 5200,5100 CE: Negative Open Interest Since morning
5400, 5500 CE: Positive Open Interest build up
PE Data Analysis:
5400, 5500 PE: Positive open interest build up
Pull between bears and bulld at 5400 & 5500 Levels
Reduction in CE Open interest at 5300,5200 levels indicate Call option play shifting to 5400,5500 levels.
Cannot predict correctly with such data looking at 5400, 5500 levels: PE/CE, whether bulls/bears will succeed
Trying my analysis:
5500 PE: Not much buildup as compared to 5500 CE:
----> Implies: Put writers do not believe Nifty will rise to 5500 levels,
giving them moolah, hence betting small
Call writers believe that Nifty will not rise to 5500 level,s hence
writing calls at 5500 levels, and waiting for market to go
down to close positions
5300,5200 CE: Call writers do no believe markets will go up from here significantly . Booking profits before market drops and hence negative open interest change.
Open Interest PCR Levels:
PCR @ 5400 Levels: 0.83
PCR @ 5300 Levels: 1.41
Higher PCR Levels--> indicate : bearishness
Lowe PCR Levels --> indicate : bullishness
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Disclaimer: I'm short Nifty holding 350 5300@PE
Sold Nifty PE: Betting on 5300 CE : Given europe has opened in +ve and Nifty hasn;t decieded where to go