Trading with PT style

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Nifty has given a negative weekly close, which means that
the trend remains down till 5342 is not taken off. The
daily momentum says it all, as it remains down after
making a hinge for the second time in a row, which is a
sign of a bull trap. On the lower end, Nifty has support at
5160, a breach of which will accelerate the selling pressure.
Sensex has formed a head and shoulders pattern with the
neckline support at 17240. So, if that support is broken
and if the index closes below it, it will be dragged down
swiftly. The weekly momentum indicator KST, which is in
buy mode, is keeping the hopes alive for the bulls in the
medium run. So, the days to come will be crucial to decide
as to who wins the battle.
 
5705 Big tgt
Trendy Levels
17450 17650 5230 5320
17300 17800 5180 5360
17150 17950 5120 5400
20DSMA 40DEMA 20DSMA 40DEMA
17677 17434 5294 5221
BSE Sensex: 17,558 Nifty: 5,278
 
The Nifty April 10 series expired flat month-on-month, with market-wide rollover seen at 65.25%, quite low compared to 84%% in last expiry (3-month
average 83.4%). Nifty rollover was seen at 59.2%, compared to 65.7% in the earlier expiry (3-month average 70.1%).

India VIX (which measures the immediate expected volatility) ended at 21.19 after seeing a spike during the last two days of April 10 expiry. Nifty OI PCR is also in comfortable zone around 1.20 levels.

The option data for May series shows highest open interest in puts with strike 5200 and 5000. We saw healthy additions in calls with strikes 5200-5300, indicating a portion of traders expecting Nifty to resume a bullish trend.
Nifty is currently poised near the crucial level of 5180 and if we see a break from this level then we should see a downside of up to 5040.
However, strong resistance is seen at 5280 to 5295 which are short-term 5 and 20 DMA. If these resistances are breached then we see trend reversal with Nifty heading towards 5400-5500.
 
NOW IF 5238 MAGIC NUMBER CROSSED POINTS THEN WELCOME the BULLS
OR IF 5220 MAGIC NUMBER IS BROKEN THEN WELCOME THE BEARS !!!
 
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