1 lakh to 652 lakhs in 497 trading days - Winning 20% of Trade in NIFTY Futures - Bac

[healthraj]

Re: 1 lakh to 652 lakhs in 497 trading days - Winning 20% of Trade in NIFTY Futures -

Attached is the Futures analysis with the same philosophy. All the assumptions(configuration) are listed out at the begining.
Its clear that trading in Futures with the same strategy is not that rewarding as the index suggests. The futures data i would say is still on the optimistic side. In reality, its impossible to get the trade close to the opening. If you have to keep a stop loss based on open-7points, this would increase your stop loss and diminish the risk reward ratio. Also in pyramiding, as you are leveraging, the positions will get closed at 3:10. So ideally speaking, the configuration of no leverage (Keep margin as whole margin reqd) would be the closest to reality. In this case the returns are only 7 times original capital.
All in all, no doubt it is a good system, which will test your patience as well as your discipline. It is ideal for people like me who dont have much time to sit in front of terminal the whole day. :thumb:
A few changes, like not trading on those days when you know for sure that the tide has changed or trading at support or resistance only, could increase the win %. Let me know if anyone needs any more details
View attachment 18126

Thanks for the analysis. What is the ideal stoploss for Futures trading? Does the profit increase if let us say we increase the Stoploss to 10? Or 7 is also the ideal stoploss for Futures also...

Can you simply share the Futures OHLC data that you have analysed?

 

[Option.Trader]

Re: 1 lakh to 652 lakhs in 497 trading days - Winning 20% of Trade in NIFTY Futures -

Thanks for the analysis. What is the ideal stoploss for Futures trading? Does the profit increase if let us say we increase the Stoploss to 10? Or 7 is also the ideal stoploss for Futures also...

Can you simply share the Futures OHLC data that you have analysed?

The ideal stop loss is 11. The returns are marginally better than keeping stop loss at 7.
The link to the file is http://www.4shared.com/file/FokQ1PZe/Positional_Trading_-_NIFTY-Fut.html

 

[sholay]

Re: 1 lakh to 652 lakhs in 497 trading days - Winning 20% of Trade in NIFTY Futures -

Any one on todays trade?

 

[sholay]

Re: 1 lakh to 652 lakhs in 497 trading days - Winning 20% of Trade in NIFTY Futures -

Charts still not appearing? Any remedy?

 

[healthraj]

Re: 1 lakh to 652 lakhs in 497 trading days - Winning 20% of Trade in NIFTY Futures -

Charts still not appearing? Any remedy?

Will post the next version by this weekend...

 

[aimer]

Re: 1 lakh to 652 lakhs in 497 trading days - Winning 20% of Trade in NIFTY Futures -

Any one on todays trade?

Two short calls in nifty out of which one was before timeline and the other would have been avoided as it was against trend and also in yesterdays range...
By the way the stop got hit...

Similar situation in BNF also...

 

[aimer]

Re: 1 lakh to 652 lakhs in 497 trading days - Winning 20% of Trade in NIFTY Futures -

Always avoid trades in yesterdays range...80-85% times it traps u...only 15-20% times it gives a good trade, but its better to miss those trades rather then getting whiped 80-85% times...my views

 

[aimer]

Re: 1 lakh to 652 lakhs in 497 trading days - Winning 20% of Trade in NIFTY Futures -

Nifty in a flag on 5min...

 

[Probability]

Re: 1 lakh to 652 lakhs in 497 trading days - Winning 20% of Trade in NIFTY Futures -

Raj,

When we open the excel 2003 version, it is not able to recognize function '_xlfn.AVERAGEIF' in the cell AF3, due to this all the cells referencing AF3 gives the error "#NAME?". Therefore all the columns AH onwards has this error

 

[aimer]

Re: 1 lakh to 652 lakhs in 497 trading days - Winning 20% of Trade in NIFTY Futures -

Raj, there is one problem...there is 1st August data absent in nifty OTP and Banknifty OTP sheet...it is displaying 31st july and 2nd August...

Do I need to put in the 1st August data manually?