angubhai as u traded range breakout for a long time , can u tell me it's cons . i mean demerits .
at what time it mainly fails and is there any solution to avoids whips.
Hi Sanjn,
I have been trading range breakout methods on and off for about 4 years now. Every time I modify my rules slightly.
I have doubled my money using this 3 times. It takes a few months to double money using this method. but I have lost all the money that I made in a few weeks.
All due to poor money management. Whenever the system did well, I would ramp up pretty quickly. For example, I used to add one lot for every Rs. 30000 profit. Soon I would be trading very large quantities, and even a small drawdown would eat up all my profits and more. Hopefully, I have learnt my lesson and will ramp up slower, going forward.
While range breakout makes profit over the long term (at least i am confident about Nifty), it also gives prolonged drawdowns. I have experienced drawdowns lasting more than 2 months (where 95% of the days end in losses). Even the current phase of the market, since the 3rd week of June has been terrible for this system.
So if you want to trade this system, your money management should be good enough to handle a few months of drawdown. The alternative is to identify the whipsaw phase for the system and stay out. I do not have a clue about how to avoid a whipsaw, and as you can see in my diary, I trade this system almost everyday, though some people may say that it is so easy to identify that the market has been rangebound and trendless in July.
Does this info help?