Hi All,
fyi
Edelweiss Research is bullish on Suzlon Energy and has recommended a buy rating on the stock.
Edelweiss Research report on Suzlon Energy:
Areva has decided not to hike its offer price over Suzlon?s offer at Euro 150 per share as had been expected in our report Suzlon Energy - Result update, dated May 17, 2007. Areva, which holds 30% in Re power, will be maintaining its stake in the company and will become Suzlon?s preferred supplier. It also has a put option to sell its stake to Suzlon one year down the line at a fair value decided at that point of time. Martifer, which holds 25%in Re power, also has a put option, which it can exercise after two years at a price of Euro126 per share. This allays the fear of higher debt equity ratio for Suzlon as its cash out flow will be staggered in three phases. We remain positive on the acquisition of Re power by Suzlon and have been maintaining our positive stance since our report Suzlon Energy ? Event update, dated March 5, 2007as the former is at an inflexion point after attaining threshold volumes. It also provides a greater scope of margin expansion due to increased volumes and the integration benefit arising due to raw material sourcing from Suzlon. Taking 30% sourcing from Suzlon and subsequent interest burden, we expect a negative EPS impact of 2.7% in FY08E and positive impact of 2.9% in FY09E. At revised EPS estimate of INR 50.0 in FY08 and INR69.5 in FY09, the stock trades at 27.6x and 19.8x FY08 and FY09 estimates, respectively. Their exist upsides to our numbers from Re power with higher volume growth and better margin expansion. With strong outlook on wind energy, robust order book, and Suzlon attaining ~100% integration levels, we maintain our ?BUY? recommendation.
Financials and valuations:
We expect Suzlon to register consolidated revenue CAGR of 58% during FY06-09E on the back of 47.4% CAGR in volumes to reach Rs 155 billion. The EPS CAGR is expected to be 36% during the same period and consolidated net margin is likely to improve to 12.8% in FY09E from the current 10.8% in FY07. Taking subsequent interest burden due to acquisition of Re power, we expect a negative EPS impact of 2.7% in FY08E and positive impact of 2.9% in FY09E. At revised expected EPS estimate of Rs 50.0 in FY08 and Rs 69.5 in FY09, the stock trades at 27.6x and 19.8x FY08 and FY09 estimates, respectively. We maintain our ?BUY? recommendation.
Thanks and Regards
Supratik