Yeah ST completely agree, this is not tradeable until and unless I am able to digest the drawdowns it gives. I checked this system for 2012 alone, because you remember 2012 July August and December market was sideways most of the times.
There were two cumulative drawdowns nearing 10R which is also bad, because my risk per trade is 2.5% and one such drawdown I am down by 25% of initial capital. One interesting thing is this system is winners 2.5 times loosers suppose I have three wins in a row an 10 R loss I will be able to withstand that draw down as it will be 10R - 7.5R = 2.5R = 6.25% drawdown.
For using this system to be used efficiently, I need to backtest it for two more years may be three years so that I will have confidence to follow it through out first year of trading to see its results
I am currently using another system where win:lose ratio is 1:1 and R:R is 1.951:1 :thumb:, this suits better till I back test the former system.
disadvantage of above, It has given 16R drawdown in 2010 and 20R drawdown in 2012 as per back testing. Not sure how I can digest this .
My goal is to design a system and follow MM rules I will not have more than 10% drawdown even at worst conditions. But I, also don't want to risk below 2.5%.
There were two cumulative drawdowns nearing 10R which is also bad, because my risk per trade is 2.5% and one such drawdown I am down by 25% of initial capital. One interesting thing is this system is winners 2.5 times loosers suppose I have three wins in a row an 10 R loss I will be able to withstand that draw down as it will be 10R - 7.5R = 2.5R = 6.25% drawdown.
For using this system to be used efficiently, I need to backtest it for two more years may be three years so that I will have confidence to follow it through out first year of trading to see its results
I am currently using another system where win:lose ratio is 1:1 and R:R is 1.951:1 :thumb:, this suits better till I back test the former system.
disadvantage of above, It has given 16R drawdown in 2010 and 20R drawdown in 2012 as per back testing. Not sure how I can digest this .
My goal is to design a system and follow MM rules I will not have more than 10% drawdown even at worst conditions. But I, also don't want to risk below 2.5%.