Day Trading Stocks & Futures

re: Day trading Nifty & Banknifty Futures

very true st bhai ...

Buying options in this mkt especially pre event ,is a loosing proposition even before the option was bought, be it a ce or a pe ....

The ivs were so high, the nifty pes would have barely money even if bought around at the top.

7500 pe had a low of 49.5 on 7th july.
Even after the mkt correcting by 300 points, its todays closing is ~ 108.

The ces bought pre event meanwhile got butchered.

Buying otm options pre event with a high vix value ought to be a big no no imho ...
there is too much generalization regarding how you cannot make money swing trading options, how buying ce or pe is a loosing proposition before an event going on....
Suppose you bought 7500 pe on wednesday @ 90, it made high of 135 on thursday which gave plenty of room to exit with profit. If nifty had crossed 8000 then would the ce still be losing ?
You are correct when you say "buying otm options pre event with a high vix value ought to be a big no no imho" but its not because its a sure loosing thing because if it was then everyone would be selling and making mobey.. Its correct because its very-very difficult to manage the risk in such situations ..
well, it did make a low of 32 too :d
would have taken a brave soul to hang on, before getting an opportunity to sell at 135 ...

The high ivs ensured that one would need a move of 300+ points in either direction to make some good money on the option trades.

A 300 point move on the index normally yields about 2x to 3x when ivs are not inflated.





Hi,

td combo and td sequential are price exhaustion techniques which help identify low risk opportunities @ turning points ... The numbers are counts of bars which meet set up conditions of the method ...

Check this thread out for more in depth info.
http://www.traderji.com/technical-analysis/23286-thomas-demark-sequential-system.html
well.. It made high of 135 before making low of 32 so not much bravery was needed and i dunno how you came to conclusion that a 300 point move was needed to make good money in options... As far as i can see people made good money even for a move of about 100 points before 1100 hr and im sure lots of people made loads of money for the moves after 1100 hr.

If the market didnt fall after 1100 hr and straightaway tested 7700 then how much profit you would have made ? What it says about your conclusion then ?

I think you didnt have a look at intraday chart of the options, please have a look at the various opportunities it presented.

I dont hv that much knowledge in options but i think the inflated iv concept is misunderstood and misused, if prices of underlying move up then so will the price of the option no matter how high the iv is... And when we are talking about high iv please also tell me how high can be a high ?
i didnt mean to say that money couldn't be made at all .... However, with inflated ivs, its not a buyers mkt. Its a sellers market.

My post was primarily meant for guys who buy and hold options for a larger swing pre event.

This is vix from jan 2014 till date. A simple eye ball mk1 analysis tells us that pre events, its been a sellers mkt on nf options ....
falling vix biggest enemy of option buyers , specially otm options loose premium very fast.
If you want to make quick money from naked options intraday (not buy & hold type) :
1) your direction sud be right , market must not move opposite as options lose value very fast so sl hit etc.
2) market sud reach your target quickly otherwise again option will start losing value.
3) both these points cant be right always => you will gain once in a while but lose money mostly.(4 years experience doing this , still doing same :mad:)

on friday, 7300 pe was at 39 when nf hit 7514, again after some time it was at 39 when nf @ 7497 , later it was at 39 when nf at 7480 :annoyed:
Vertigo,Nirav and traderravi bhai, please keep up the topic. It is very good to see one concept from different perspectives. It helps us all to understand the core concept in a better way.

I am myself new in Options Trading, so cannot say much. But I agree with observations of Nirav bhai, as what I have noticed so far is that high IV " it is relative term - what is high IV for Nifty could be low IV for Adani Group stocks and so on" is an added risk for the option buyers. Therefor before buying the options, one must definitely look at the IV values and if possible then compare these values with their recent past values. If the IV is too high, then the trade should be taken only if you have great conviction that your trade Direction and Timing are good for such trade. If you have any doubt, then it is better to skip this trade and wait for better opportunities.

I agree with points of Vertigo bhai as well. We cannot completely generalize this situation like this "High IV = Definite Loss for Option Buyers". As there are opportunities for money making if one has the experience to chose proper strike and price levels in such situation.

traderravi bhai comments are spot on as he is speaking from his true experience of past many years. OTM options have speeds similar to Formula 1 Race Cars ! They are just too quick. If one can get it right, then there is no faster way to make money, but as ravi bhai said, most often one ends up on the loosing side only.

Please carry on discussion about practical aspects of options trading, all of you. It is a great help for the guys who are learning options. :thumb:

With my best regards.
 

TraderRavi

low risk profile
re: Day trading Nifty & Banknifty Futures

@TR
IF u r repeating d same mistakes like ovrtrading,ovrleveraging,faulty MM,etc..den wats d point losing money widout rectifying dos mistakes wen our main goal is 2 print money in d mkt:)
you are encouraging me to buy the printer , ek aur kharcha :mad:
 
re: Day trading Nifty & Banknifty Futures

As soon as there is an agreement between the players of the markets for the price to take a direction one sided , volatility dies drastically and the Options get burnt in this agreement.

When Raghu Ram Rajan presented his first monetary policy Volatility was sky high before the event at 11:00 am . Just after the outcome of policy Volatility broke down violently and Options were burnt within minutes. The down move came after the policy still PE's found it hard to give substantial returns for those who bought before the event.

At the same time just after the Volatility crash when Option premiums seemed to be at the fair price and PE's were bought at this juncture gave good returns as the rally was huge.

This is my personal trade experience of that event. I took the PE trade after few minutes of policy declaration.

However every event will go the same way can't be contemplated.
Leonid bro, Excellent Observation. :thumb:

Thanks for sharing.
 

cloudTrader

Well-Known Member
re: Day trading Nifty & Banknifty Futures

Futures pe aa jao TR bhai ... My takleef has gone down significantly since making the switch ... :D
I agree that Futures are quite good to trade instead of Options especially if someone is a Price Action Trader as it requires targeted effort for reading price only while Options bring with them lot more variables to comprehend together with price analysis.
 

gmt900

Well-Known Member
re: Day trading Nifty & Banknifty Futures

Vertigo,Nirav and traderravi bhai, please keep up the topic. It is very good to see one concept from different perspectives. It helps us all to understand the core concept in a better way.

I am myself new in Options Trading, so cannot say much. But I agree with observations of Nirav bhai, as what I have noticed so far is that high IV " it is relative term - what is high IV for Nifty could be low IV for Adani Group stocks and so on" is an added risk for the option buyers. Therefor before buying the options, one must definitely look at the IV values and if possible then compare these values with their recent past values. If the IV is too high, then the trade should be taken only if you have great conviction that your trade Direction and Timing are good for such trade. If you have any doubt, then it is better to skip this trade and wait for better opportunities.

I agree with points of Vertigo bhai as well. We cannot completely generalize this situation like this "High IV = Definite Loss for Option Buyers". As there are opportunities for money making if one has the experience to chose proper strike and price levels in such situation.

traderravi bhai comments are spot on as he is speaking from his true experience of past many years. OTM options have speeds similar to Formula 1 Race Cars ! They are just too quick. If one can get it right, then there is no faster way to make money, but as ravi bhai said, most often one ends up on the loosing side only.

Please carry on discussion about practical aspects of options trading, all of you. It is a great help for the guys who are learning options. :thumb:

With my best regards.
I thought this thread was about day trading and futures.

But I find there is some interesting discussion about options .

I too am trying to dabble in options. In recent times it has become almost impossible to predict the direction of market or (nifty) IV.

For example, VIX was at it's peak before election results and it came crashing
down immediately after results.

I expected similar scenario during budget time, but VIX never reached levels
high enough before budget.

It has become tougher to play options now than before. I feel playing neutral
strategies may be a better option in near future
 

TradeJoker

Well-Known Member
re: Day trading Nifty & Banknifty Futures

falling vix biggest enemy of option buyers , specially OTM options loose premium very fast.
if you want to make quick money from naked options intraday (not buy & hold type) :
1) your direction sud be right , market must not move opposite as options lose value very fast so SL hit etc.
2) market sud reach your target quickly otherwise again option will start losing value.
3) both these points cant be right always => you will gain once in a while but lose money mostly.(4 years experience doing this , still doing same :mad:)

on friday, 7300 PE was at 39 when NF hit 7514, again after some time it was at 39 when NF @ 7497 , later it was at 39 when NF at 7480 :annoyed:
it was better to buy few cows instead of buying options,after 4yrs now u cud become a dairy farm owner :eek::D
 
re: Day trading Nifty & Banknifty Futures

it was better to buy few cows instead of buying options,after 4yrs now u cud become a dairy farm owner :eek::D
It's a case of sour milk :D
 

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