How to trade Commodities - Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Natural Gas

Easier to Trade - Commodities or Indexes or Stocks


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SavantGarde

Well-Known Member
Uttam,

Once more you address me as 'Sir' & I disappear permanently from TJ...:)

Oooopppsss!!!..sorry thought your chart was hourly... think I need to change my Glasses and start wearing magnifying glasses......My apologies....!!!


SG

Sir, your analysis is correct i think for intraday trade of Monday but my analysis is bearish for next week.
My comment 'penetration of yellow line' is just a wild guess:). No trade signal right now.
 
Respected Kamlesh Ji,

I would like to thank you for the knowledge sharing. I usually trade in Crude Oil and found that Crude is very rude commodity. However, today I traded according to your post and shorted it at 5176 and covered very conservatively at 5141. It was the biggest gain for me since I have started trading in commodities couple of months ago. I would like to thank you for your observations and analysis.

Regards
Shailender Bali
 

SavantGarde

Well-Known Member
Mr. Bali,

It is heartening to see people like you take time out to Thank....!!!

Congratulations...!!! On Your Trade.... God Bless You & Uttam & Everybody

I am sure just a few words from friends from time to time will keep Uttam going forever....


SG

Respected Kamlesh Ji,

I would like to thank you for the knowledge sharing. I usually trade in Crude Oil and found that Crude is very rude commodity. However, today I traded according to your post and shorted it at 5176 and covered very conservatively at 5141. It was the biggest gain for me since I have started trading in commodities couple of months ago. I would like to thank you for your observations and analysis.

Regards
Shailender Bali
 
Hi Friends, This is the Diagram of Demark's rules about Trendline Breakout Qualifiers. They are very very useful to know which Trendline breakouts are real or fake.

These are equally applicable to any Trendlines be it Demark Trendlines or classic ones.

Take Printout and keep it handy with you.

As i am using so much of Trendlines i must know which breakouts are real or fake. This part of Demark is remarkable as well as simple. Cheers!

Kamleshji thanks for the image..... But I am unable to comprehend it.... Can someone please help me out what those charts want to say..... :)
 
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abhi_neth

Well-Known Member
Hi Aditya,

These are Demark's Trendline breakout qualifiers as described in his book "The New Science of Technical Analysis" as well as "Day Trading Options". He calls them Supply & Demand lines & the way to draw this is different than normal trendlines. First of all these have to be drawn from right to left as opposed to traditional trendlines which are drawn left to right.
In a downtrend we have to select a bar which has .higher close than the preceding & succeeding bar. This is the first TD Point. Next we keep on going to the left of the screen & find a similar point to the first one but has to be higher then it. This is second TD point. The trendline is drawn connecting these two lines & is called Supply Line.
Just replace high with low in the above para to draw demand line.

Now when the trendline breaks to determine whether it is a genuine or fakeout, TD Mark has provided with breakout qualifiers. The above chart describes the same. I'll just explain the Upside Breakout, just apply the opposite the downside breakout.

Q1. The bar prior to the upside breakout should have a close lower than the preceding bar close.

Q2: If there is a gap up opening with the open with the open greater than the supply line & also it goes on to create a high which is greater than the open, then the breakout is genuine.

Q3: If neither of the above two is applicable then we go to third one. If the supply line is greater than close + (same bar low or the previous close, whichever is lower) - & the current bar goes on to break the SL, then breakout is genuine.

Q4: This is an optional qualifier: The current bar open should be greater than previous two closes & the SL must be greater than the previous bars high.

Just replace high with low for downside breakout.

Thx
 

mdrafi67

Well-Known Member
Kamleshji thanks for the image..... But I am unable to comprehend it.... Can someone please help me out what those charts want to say..... :)
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kamleshji, if u can little bit elobrate what those patterns means then that will be of more help to us....................THANQ
 
Here is the post-martem of SILVER. Wolfe Wave(WW) nailed its target.



Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Silver Future:

Bullish view: It should consolidate for along time first before moving up.

Bearish view: It may touch lower levels.

Suggestion: no fresh trades on daily/weekly charts.



Kamlesh Uttam
Hi Kamlesh,

You are excellent, hats off to you... !!!!

I have been wandering since some time now to know and learn about market.
Read some charting, strategies but nothing best than what I see in your forum. Its so precisely mind blowing with beauty of simple explaination and practical examples that makes it awesome.

Really thank you for your effort in creating and maintaining this post. Its real treasure. I am reading it since start and many pages still pending but would go through them all.

One curious question, I went to esignal as per your provided link and can see all the indicators there that would want but don't see any option to draw trendlines or write text on the graphs. Can you please help me understand where you find the option of drawing trendline from online esignal graph and write text on it.

Regards,
Ritesh
 
Hi Kamlesh,

You are excellent, hats off to you... !!!!

I have been wandering since some time now to know and learn about market.
Read some charting, strategies but nothing best than what I see in your forum. Its so precisely mind blowing with beauty of simple explaination and practical examples that makes it awesome.

Really thank you for your effort in creating and maintaining this post. Its real treasure. I am reading it since start and many pages still pending but would go through them all.

One curious question, I went to esignal as per your provided link and can see all the indicators there that would want but don't see any option to draw trendlines or write text on the graphs. Can you please help me understand where you find the option of drawing trendline from online esignal graph and write text on it.

Regards,
Ritesh
Welcome Ritesh.....i do it with Paint for eSignal charts.

Use MT4 for all purposes. Now a days i use eSignal charts only for verification of data (that too rarely needed) otherwise MT4 is sufficient, in fact wonderful.
 
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kamleshji, if u can little bit elobrate what those patterns means then that will be of more help to us....................THANQ
These charts are from Robert Miners work. It's great mathapachhi using his software(still learning) but his book is very simple and i must say the best book i got benefited till now.

Regarding -Demark Trendline Breakouts diagram, you must go through chapter chapter number 7 of his Options book.
 
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