LOL, Debargyha, either I rock or I don't know what I am talking about. I prefer to be somewhere in the middle.
Okay, enough of that. This is the post I made 5 minutes before the market opened, and the time stamp at Nifty50 will verify it, "With the thrust we got heading back north, I'm expecting for it to continue to my WR3 at 4953. It's show a strong week anytime a 3 is hit, and that is what we are in for this week."
Without sounding like I'm tooting my horn, there was no doubt in that statement, because the move was strongly obviated from a TA perspective.
If you follow that FA stuff, I'm knocking it, but if all that information you gave was suppose to create a downside movement in Nifty, then something is wrong somewhere, and I do not mean your broker fixing the price action.
Quite frankly, I'm dumb as a box of rocks when it comes to the FA's. I choose to be that way, because I do not want the FA's creating any kind of a bias against my TA's, because I know they are correct (Understand what I mean is they are correct for me.).
Look. I've told my friends here in the local area the same thing, so I'm not cutting a shine as if hiding behind a computer screen. "You need to have total control of all your trading decisions. As traders, we need to take full responsibility of everything we do. Once you blame the broker, regardless of the reasons you use, you take all control and responsibility out of your hands."
I'll be honest. I did not win any popularity contests with a few people I told the latter statement to, but it's the truth. That's all that counts.
Let me also address a couple of the statements you made that I know something about. My responses are in bold print
Paul it is my view on the short term up move on market
- Central banks' move to reduce the cost of dollar
Everyone in this forum would laugh if I commented on this.
- Sharp appreciation in the rupee.
The USD/INR had its first major drop on Thursday. OTT, it was straight north, which means the INR has depreciated sharply.
- No market will go only south or north. Time to time push and pull is a natural phenomena.
That's true, but what is your point? After hitting, 5002 yesterday, I also said it is time for the correction to take a rest, and it will go east before hitting 5058. BTW, if you are looking to go short on Nifty, that is the area to be looking at.
- Market is little confused. If you see the PUT/CALL ratio then it is clear that the market still is very negative. Only because of the last day movement range has changed.
That still should not make a difference as far as your trading decisions are concerned. If it does, then enter short, turn off the computer, and go back when the market is around 4300.
A more practical approach says, Forget the percentages. Debarghya should decide for Debarghya which way to go.
I don't mean to knock anyone when I say this, but the really good traders thumb their news at what the crowd is doing. They simply do not care what the crowd is doing.
- You please study the movement of DII. They again sold at the higher level.
Debarghya, this is not a higher level. 6300 was a higher level. We're talking sub-5000 before the day started. We are also talking the smallest of glitches on the computer screen with respect to the entire long term downtrend. In addition, this is only a correction. We are going lower. The TA's also show us that.
BTW, when I say TA's, it has nothing to do with put/call ratios, which is more a measurement of what the crowd is doing. TA's are the charts. The charts are the road maps for future direction.
- There was no such big economical reform news yesterday except central bank movement. But still 9th December EURO meeting left.
Go back to my "box of rocks" statement.
Again with all respect friend, I don't see any strong technical reason in this up move.
I appreciate your comments on my opinion.