Is nf will hit lower circuit after election result?

[mlp]

he he he ok sir,,,dream it...if AAP gets even 50+ , we are heading for hung parliment for a sure...Nifty can go below 6000 ...:clapping::clapping::clapping::clapping:

As you said Tukka bhi chalega, Here are my tukkas, according to me predictions
My Two Cents:

1. This election whatever the results are but the results will be Most Unpredictable.
2. Any other party forming the govt except NDA, Nifty will not move in upward trend & will go towards lower circuit.
3. Even if NDA gets 220 to 240 seats & take outside support of some party after result declaration, Nifty will not touch upper circuit. It will be lack luster.
4. If NDA gets 272 + seats in first instance, then Nifty may long for 7% to 12% in a week time. But it will be very short time nifty hold, then it will again go down.

If I summarize more chances are Nifty down by 10% after 16th May.

I also want to play this game. I want to play for Nifty lower circuits But

1. I want to minimize the risk, by taking some long calls to minimize the loss if NDA gets 300 seats on 16th may. Please suggest some strategy if somebody is thinking on same lines.

" I have full confidence for AAP getting more than 70 seats but still I see BJP forming the govt according to my calculations" How people are calculating that if AAP gets 50 seats then surety of Hung Parliament. Please help me to understand this. I can tell my feelers the states where AAP will get the seats.

 

[vas2009]

Bro no lower circuits this time but a flat market in the range of 6600-6800.Anyway you may buy 6700Call at Re258.You make a profit if NF trades below 6462.Highly unlikely scenario.Kindly note AAP was very active in Delhi for two years with the help of Annaji.But for Lok Sabha they had no time to prepare.Last time market made the mistake that people will not vote for a stable govt.Also someone pointed out that counting is a trading day so no up or down circuits.

 

[TradeOptions]

As you said Tukka bhi chalega, Here are my tukkas, according to me predictions
My Two Cents:

1. This election whatever the results are but the results will be Most Unpredictable.
2. Any other party forming the govt except NDA, Nifty will not move in upward trend & will go towards lower circuit.
3. Even if NDA gets 220 to 240 seats & take outside support of some party after result declaration, Nifty will not touch upper circuit. It will be lack luster.
4. If NDA gets 272 + seats in first instance, then Nifty may long for 7% to 12% in a week time. But it will be very short time nifty hold, then it will again go down.

If I summarize more chances are Nifty down by 10% after 16th May.

I also want to play this game. I want to play for Nifty lower circuits But

1. I want to minimize the risk, by taking some long calls to minimize the loss if NDA gets 300 seats on 16th may. Please suggest some strategy if somebody is thinking on same lines.

" I have full confidence for AAP getting more than 70 seats but still I see BJP forming the govt according to my calculations" How people are calculating that if AAP gets 50 seats then surety of Hung Parliament. Please help me to understand this. I can tell my feelers the states where AAP will get the seats.

This time there are a lot of Shock Absorbers built in, so a circuit seems very less likely.

The current rally has happened only because of the hopes for NDA winning clear majority, so if that happens in realty, then most of that expectation has already been factored in.

Secondly the exit polls will kick in on 13 May itself, so market will make moves based on that as well.

I have not seen anyone who says AAP can get even 50 seats. You are the very first guy who has said that AAP can get 70 seats. Please tell if you are joking or serious. If serious then please tell a few states and few constituencies where AAP will be able to come in the second place at-least. If they can cross 50 seats then they will become the 3rd largest party in India after Congress and BJP. Then it is a guarantee that Modi Sarkar will not come into power and Nifty will go down and Puts will make money.

 

[Trader_PK]

This time there are a lot of Shock Absorbers built in, so a circuit seems very less likely.

The current rally has happened only because of the hopes for NDA winning clear majority, so if that happens in realty, then most of that expectation has already been factored in.

Secondly the exit polls will kick in on 13 May itself, so market will make moves based on that as well.

I have not seen anyone who says AAP can get even 50 seats. You are the very first guy who has said that AAP can get 70 seats. Please tell if you are joking or serious. If serious then please tell a few states and few constituencies where AAP will be able to come in the second place at-least. If they can cross 50 seats then they will become the 3rd largest party in India after Congress and BJP. Then it is a guarantee that Modi Sarkar will not come into power and Nifty will go down and Puts will make money.

Delhi
punjab
haryana
maharashtra
UP
Gujrat
Himachal
uttarakhand
J&K
karnataka
kerala
tamilnadu (especially south of tamilnadu)


these are the state where AAP is doing good .. so there may be a surprise for all of you

 

[OMSAI]

Delhi
punjab
haryana
maharashtra
UP
Gujrat
Himachal
uttarakhand
J&K
karnataka
kerala
tamilnadu (especially south of tamilnadu)


these are the state where AAP is doing good .. so there may be a surprise for all of you

Satta bazar.......BJP....245-255 ......................Cong 70-80.........So.....be care PK bro....

 

[sudoku1]

Discussions n blah blah apart..how many of u wil b having an open position on MAY 16 ¿

 

[OMSAI]

Discussions n blah blah apart..how many of u wil b having an open position on MAY 16 ¿

2009.......I was in the game......So you can....count me....

 

[OMSAI]

2009.......I was in the game......So you can....count me....

Will take.....fresh position...NF 4 lots......BNF 6 lots..................I will take position on 9-10th.may........

 

[mlp]

I have not seen anyone who says AAP can get even 50 seats. You are the very first guy who has said that AAP can get 70 seats. Please tell if you are joking or serious. If serious then please tell a few states and few constituencies where AAP will be able to come in the second place at-least. If they can cross 50 seats then they will become the 3rd largest party in India after Congress and BJP. Then it is a guarantee that Modi Sarkar will not come into power and Nifty will go down and Puts will make money.[/QUOTE]


Dear,
Thanks for replying. I am not joking, I m serious. I will name states
Delhi 5 seats, Punjab 10 Seats, Haryana 2-3, Chandigarh 1, UP 4 to 5, Maharashtra 3-4, Karnataka 1-2, Uttrakhand 1, Himachal 1. These are sure seats rest will be tukka jahan chal jaye.

What I see even after getting 50 to 80 seats by AAP Modi has very fair chances to form govt. My calculations are as under

AAP : 70, UPA ( Congress + alliance) 100, Mamta Banerjee 30, Others(SP+BSP+Left+Jaylalitha+JDU+etc.) 100 Total comes to 300
In this case NDA remains with 543-300=243. NDA at 243 can easily take one or two outer alliance & form the govt.

Please suggest where I am actually wrong, as I am confused in this maths. If AAP gets appx 50 seats NDA clear cut near to win. Am I under expecting UPA or others?

 

[Trader_PK]

Will take.....fresh position...NF 4 lots......BNF 6 lots..................I will take position on 9-10th.may........

long?.............