Learning to catch High Probability Breakouts

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Further to the discussion of buying stocks at 52 Week high.

How about just blind buying stocks (a portfolio of say 20 stocks) breaking out to their 52 week highs. Keep a SL of say 5% and then trail. May be we could ignore fundamentals and just follow technicals. Keep a diversified portfolio. Get out of small caps but keep positions for long in high quality mid caps. This strategy is more suitable for small cap plays. SL is a must here. All trades are delivery trades. Is there any way to back test this. Please charts all have log scale so the rise is actually much more steep then it looks in the below charts. (We may have a good strategy in place if we can test this some way)









 
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indianbank

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Further to the discussion of buying stocks at 52 Week high.

How about just blind buying stocks (a portfolio of say 20 stocks) breaking out to their 52 week highs. Keep a SL of say 5% and then trail. May be we could ignore fundamentals and just follow technicals. Keep a diversified portfolio. Get out of small caps but keep positions for long in high quality mid caps.

I have position in this stock called ISFT...

As you said Stoploss 5-10% will be ideal....

Divide capital to 20-30 stocks will be a good choice...:thumb:
 

extremist

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mindgames

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I have position in this stock called ISFT...

As you said Stoploss 5-10% will be ideal....

Divide capital to 20-30 stocks will be a good choice...:thumb:
For example allot 1Lakh to this type of trading.
invest 5K into 20 stocks; keep 1K as SL for each, if you are lucky your money can double in no time.

On papers this looks good do not know how our physcology would play in real time.
 

amitrandive

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Check Kitex garments for example ,backed by good fundamentals.


Dear Amit,

The stock rallied may be backed by good fundamentals.

Current Fundamentals
BV - 55
PE - 49.71
P/B - 18 times the book
Div Yield - 0.12%

Does the stock price looks attractive at this price ?
JaganJi

I am not a fundamentalist ,so cannot make any heads or tails out of this.

Just my views

Fundamentals can be used to check the stock ability and strength.Technicals can give you the entry and exit.

Both have to be used with a fine balance.We cannot say that one method is superior over the other.
 
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