Learning to catch High Probability Breakouts

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amitrandive

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Daily Adani Power.



Is it double bottom? Or more downside is expected? how do we interpret?

Regards,
In a continuous downtrend,needs to move out of the blue box to confirm downtrend.

Very little positive bias ,check where the stock has come from.

Most of the times many people invest in such stocks believing the target to be the upper levels where it came from.

Is this really wise investing ?How do you know if there is going to be such a huge reversal?Isn't there something wrong with the company business that it is in such a downtrend ?


Some questions everyone needs to ask themselves before investing in such companies

Weekly Chart of Adani Power

 

amitrandive

Well-Known Member
yes you have written its name in earlier post, but what I mean to say is how people enter or exit from this type of stock , earlier daily upper circuit , now daily lower circuit :rofl:
authorities sud not allow this type of manipulation :mad:
Do authorities really care about manipulation ?
Toothless Tigers :mad:

Till now have not seen any big manipulator in Jail for securities fraud,barring a few like HM or CP
 
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TradeOptions

Well-Known Member
yes you have written its name in earlier post, but what I mean to say is how people enter or exit from this type of stock , earlier daily upper circuit , now daily lower circuit :rofl:
authorities sud not allow this type of manipulation :mad:
Exactly. How come SEBI does not take notice of such broad day light manipulation going on ! And then they say that they have got a great surveillance system to check stock manipulation. :mad:
 

Rish

Well-Known Member
Exactly. How come SEBI does not take notice of such broad day light manipulation going on ! And then they say that they have got a great surveillance system to check stock manipulation. :mad:
Surveillance system is in place...but, manipulation is going as per rule...

If stock manipulated by circular trading..then, question will arise...

Operators are manipulating the stocks within the framework of SEBI....moreover...SEBI will do only post-mortem...not at all a investor friendly..
 

amitrandive

Well-Known Member
What can we learn about Portfolio management from Football

http://www.stockopedia.com/content/...bout-the-art-of-portfolio-construction-86960/

Excerpts

Football teams and portfolios really aren't all that dissimilar, but the way the game is played is. Rather than charging at you head on, the market lulls you into a false sense of security, teasing you into feeling comfortable playing with just a handful of players... letting you strike a few goals, letting you take and defend a lead... only to snap back and counter attack months or years later, right at the moment you've grown most complacent.

It's the slow tempo of the stock market game that encourages too much risk taking and a poor selection of players. Structuring your portfolio to protect against delayed consequences is mission critical in stock markets, and it starts with giving every stock a role....

Both risk seeking and risk aversion play a part in our financial lives. We buy lottery tickets for the upside as well as insurance on our assets for the downside. While many novices treat their stock portfolios as a lottery tickets, they usually don't last long. By segmenting your portfolio into different 'mental accounts' you can allocate more clearly to managing downside risks without restricting upside... from defenders (conservative stalwarts) through midfielders (midcap quality and growth) to strikers (aggressive smallcap speculations or moonshots).

On the subject of broader team selection we can push the football analogy further. Good managers will always field players of various ages and experience (different industries & stages of business cycles) with plenty of foreign talent (geographic sales exposure) and won't forget to field a team with the full quota of players (breadth).

Thinking like this can help you structure a well balanced portfolio that covers the key diversification themes across risk, industry, geography and breadth... with plenty of stocks that zig when others zag.
 

Rish

Well-Known Member
Today was a good day for me...
52 week breakout
stock: GSPL sector:Oil exploration
Big list of mutual funds hold this stock...
Yearly dividend playing stock


(Those who know how to manage risk can try.... Newbies please stay away )
The above chart is based on weekly candle...as long as weekly candle has not closed above top red this friday closing...we can't declare as breakout...

It may close or it may not close...so..as such..this is not a breakout...

This is my view. Don't take it in otherwise...just for sharing my knowledge
 
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