Hi Raghavacc,
First of all, thanks for your great thread!
I come from Hong Kong and just started to trade the Hang Seng Index futures.
I'm just learning and trying to develop my own system using mostly BB and stochastic, hope I could have some advice from you.
Attached is today's EOD chart of the index futures.
I did a long at ~10:40 and sold it at ~11:40, got a pretty nice profit, so I just stopped trading for the rest of the day and did some paper trades.
Right, my question:
At ~13:50 and ~14:30, I was "tempted" to put a long, as OS > 5 seems not the case there. And now, after the day, we can see they actually behaved like OS > 5 at those times as the price dropped greatly after 15:00.
So, how should we tackle such situation? Or, is there something wrong on my stochastic setting?
Cheers.
Hi Kehl,
I am glad that you have liked this method.I hope you a great trading career ahead.
Coming back to your questions,What I have learn't from my experience is that the indicators alone can't make a system highly successfull.Belive me I tried most of them.They work in a set of conditions.After that they get beating.Market is a dynamic entity.
Thats what made me to stick to price.Price never lies.Believe me my success rate has gone beyond my expectations after I have trained myself in this method. However what works for one may not work for the other and vice versa.
Coming to your specific question
Question:At ~13:50 and ~14:30, I was "tempted" to put a long, as OS > 5 seems not the case there. And now, after the day, we can see they actually behaved like OS > 5 at those times as the price dropped greatly after 15:00.
Answer: If I have to trade the BB at all what I would do? I will consider the BB band as a highway( 2 outer bands).I will consider the MA as median ( the middle average line).I will see which lane has more traffic. I will favour that line.i.e:If the price is moving above the median consistently I will look for longs only and vice versa.
In your case from 10 to 10.30 there is a fall in the price through 3 big candles. Then a week retracement.at 12 the price goes to upper band and starts to fall.From 13-15 price keeps on trading below median.What does it sigN?weak bulls.From 14.40 to 15..05 -five tiny candles try to close above median but fail. Touch and bounce.That weakness results in big fall after 15.10
See even in your mechanical How do I interpret price action!!.Once you understand what is price?what it's doing?why it clsoes above or below a particular level your trading becomes powerfull.
The step is:
1.Identify the trend for the day.
2.Find out to which side of the median the tarffic is more
3.If its downtrend short each time it touches median or the upper band.
4.vice versa for uptrend.
I think Columbus is an authority on boliinger band.Please do visit his thread.
Question:So, how should we tackle such situation? Or, is there something wrong on my stochastic setting?
Answer:There is no wright or wrong in trading.You have to make some trial and error to see which suits your personality.