NIFTY FIFTY

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vizzie said:
Hi

"Portponed" - Can u pls elaborate on that or maybe give some link to the news or smthing..

cheers
vizzie

I heard it on TV, sorry I dont have a link on web and all the places I have read its just 1 line news. By the way I used "Postponed" actually order says

"SEBI says order related to Indiabulls to be kept in abeyance. Indiabulls order to be held in abeyance till further directions. It added the order is subject to verification of clients"

abeyance also means suspension so i just put postponed.

I can just help this much. Thanks. Hope it helps.
 

AMITBE

Well-Known Member
All the drama of the past couple of days may or may not be history yet, but it has left the players with much doubt, and much more foul taste in the mouth.
As market players we are compelled to put our money where the mouth is, and if the mouth tastes foul, much money must logically have been fouled.
Thanks so very much to the powers that be.
Oh well. Less said the better.

Its a brief session yet an important one, as its the morning after the tempestuous night.

Briefly then for the levels, staying above 3540-3544 would be a strong statement.
The line is 3518-3525-3532-3540-3546 for now.

Supports are 3505-3501-3497-3493-3490-3487-3484-3481-3478.
3469 seems strong.
 

AMITBE

Well-Known Member
AMITBE said:
All the drama of the past couple of days may or may not be history yet, but it has left the players with much doubt, and much more foul taste in the mouth.
As market players we are compelled to put our money where the mouth is, and if the mouth tastes foul, much money must logically have been fouled.
Thanks so very much to the powers that be.
Oh well. Less said the better.

Its a brief session yet an important one, as its the morning after the tempestuous night.

Briefly then for the levels, staying above 3540-3544 would be a strong statement.
The line is 3518-3525-3532-3540-3546 for now.
Testing 3549 now.

Supports are 3505-3501-3497-3493-3490-3487-3484-3481-3478.
3469 seems strong.
So far so good.
Above 3546 would be the line at 3550-3553-3556.
Above this congestion is seen so anything there would be very welcome for further strength.
 

AMITBE

Well-Known Member
AMITBE said:
So far so good.
Above 3546 would be the line at 3550-3553-3556.
Above this congestion is seen so anything there would be very welcome for further strength.
Well, the Dragaonfly Doji has given confirmation in good style even on a truncated session.
What's more, the rise today happened without the support of FIIs.
There was no volatility either.

While the Nifty waded a couple of notches into the density range above 3556 to intraday high at 3565, the close at 3557 off is not bad at all.

Holding 3561, a major level, would have been better, but no complaints. That is within striking distance.

Altogether a great weekly close, despite the hysterics during the week.
The Nifty is just a tad below the previous weekly high, having fallen back last weekend.

Have a nice one all.
 

AMITBE

Well-Known Member
Another exciting week coming along now.
Not a lot has changed internationally, meaning crude prices mainly.
On the domestic frontwellSEBI has been quiet mainly.
Some more good numbers have been announced, no adverse political developments have taken place.
All in all its one of those so whats new kind of morning.

As for the markets, the momentum is obviously on the up. So theres not much to say there.

The following excerpt is from April 28, the day made infamous by mishandling on part of SEBI:

On another front, there is this hundred points plus up-down volatility thats causing concern.
The Nifty touches some base floor one moment, and the next moment it hits a ceiling way above.
Somewhere along the line one or the other level would break.
At these high levels, the chances of the ground splitting open are greater, big money waiting on the sidelines or not.
For all the violent moves of that day, the ground didnt quite split open, did it.
And in the following truncated session, the Nifty once again reached for the sky.

This market is strong, thats visible even to the blind
Perhaps a new theory needs to be evolved on the fundamental front that would allow our analysts to see what the major funds see.
These funds obviously see the future of India Inc. from a different perspective from these analysts.
On Friday morning, before that bloody session began, the majority of these analysts had suggested that at last THE CORRECTION was upon the market.
By Friday night these chaps had egg on their facefor the millionth time.
So yes, the major funds really should share their vision with these chaps and put them out of their misery.

On to the here and now.
Once again Im pulling out a recent excerpt, from the morning of April 20:

On the technical front, from my study, the major level to command is 3579 before any residual mileage can be extracted to the up.
Ifs and buts are the necessary irony of life.

If 3579 can be held, the extension has the potential to test 3588-3597-3606-3615-3624-3633.
This is thinking at least two steps further ahead, of course.
The Nifty had closed at 3535 the previous night.
For the next three session, the Nifty attempted levels higher than 3579 and then fell, and how.

Well, one step forwards, and four steps backwards, and yet again the Nifty is back up there.

3579 for me remains the level to close above. The near term step ups are given in the above quote.

The levels for now:
From 3557 close, congestion is seen till 3588.
The line is 3560-3567-3568-3571-3575-3579-3582-3585-3588.
Past this is 3593-3598-3603-3608 for now.

Supports are 3554-3551-3546-3542.
Then 3539-3536-3533-3530. More later.
 

AMITBE

Well-Known Member
AMITBE said:
The levels for now:
From 3557 close, congestion is seen till 3588.
The line is 3560-3567-3568-3571-3575-3579-3582-3585-3588.
Past this is 3593-3598-3603-3608 for now.

Supports are 3554-3551-3546-3542.
Then 3539-3536-3533-3530. More later.
Well the Nifty is running along the step-ups at this point: 3588-3597-3606-3615-3624-3633.
Of this line, 3615 has been attempted at 3616 high so far.
Back at 3606 now, it would be good to not lose 3597 before close tonight.
Anything above 3606 is good, and above 3615 is very strong.
3633 may not give in too easily, whenever the action moves there.
 

pkjha30

Well-Known Member
AMITBE said:
These funds obviously see the future of India Inc. from a different perspective from these analysts.
Hi amit

you have hit the nail on the mark.

Another story is unfolding for quite a long time. I would say since Policy direction was changed in favour of economic reforms.

Sensex and nifty have adequately reflected this sentiments by rising relentlessly for past decades. yet we have not covered much ground.So the story is still unfolding

regards
pankaj
 

AMITBE

Well-Known Member
So far so good.
Looks like going higher, doesnt it.

But I want to sound a warning note here.

From my data, I see a possible sharp move coming upon the market now.
If it comes, the magnitude may be significant.

I may be completely off the mark, but this is what I see for the remaining three sessions coming up this week.
Tomorrow is stronger of the three days.

If and when it comes, enjoy it if it shoots to the up.
If to the down, keep those profits and get out if stops get hit.

Again, I may go completely off the mark but do make note of this.


Levels for today:

To the up, the Nifty has to labour against density all the way to 3637.
The line to there is 3609-3613-3617-3621-3625-3629-3633-3637.

Some readers may remember the number 3633 been mentioned as a difficult number as recently as yesterday.
Some readers may remember 3493, and all the drama that has happened around that mark repeatedly in recent past.
Well, 3633 is one such number and may well see plenty action in time to come.

Supports are 3602-3598-3595-3592-3589-3586-3583-3580-3577.
3574 is crucial to hold.
 

AMITBE

Well-Known Member
There was a sharp reaction at the suggested high levels yesterday, and then strong volatility took the Nifty into the red, and at a time it looked threateningly close to some key levels.
There was a neat comeback later to close about 30 points in the positive.
Everything seems good and strong.

Yet the caution sounded yesterday is still on for the rest of the week.
This is work in progress, and Im often able to glean out certain patterns which promise sharp moves.
Im still working on the direction of such moves, and its proving to be complex.
Hopefully clarity will emerge at some point, but as for levels, this area is coming along just fine.

Anyway, Im still going with the sharp move days idea of mine, whichever the direction.
And Im still going with 3633 as a level where theres more to come going ahead. Will track and post.

As for levels, again the closing value at 3634 is seen in congestion territory.
The line extends to 3661.
The steps to there are 3637-3641-3645-3649-3653-3657-3661.
This is for now.

Supports are 3631-3627-3623-3619.
3617 is an important level.
Then 3614-3611-3608-3605-3602-3599-3596.
3588-3593 are crucial.
More later if need be.
 
AMITBE said:
There was a sharp reaction at the suggested high levels yesterday, and then strong volatility took the Nifty into the red, and at a time it looked threateningly close to some key levels.
There was a neat comeback later to close about 30 points in the positive.
Everything seems good and strong.

Yet the caution sounded yesterday is still on for the rest of the week.
This is work in progress, and Im often able to glean out certain patterns which promise sharp moves.
Im still working on the direction of such moves, and its proving to be complex.
Hopefully clarity will emerge at some point, but as for levels, this area is coming along just fine.

Anyway, Im still going with the sharp move days idea of mine, whichever the direction.
And Im still going with 3633 as a level where theres more to come going ahead. Will track and post.

As for levels, again the closing value at 3634 is seen in congestion territory.
The line extends to 3661.
The steps to there are 3637-3641-3645-3649-3653-3657-3661.
This is for now.

Supports are 3631-3627-3623-3619.
3617 is an important level.
Then 3614-3611-3608-3605-3602-3599-3596.
3588-3593 are crucial.
More later if need be.

Hi Amit

Thanks for Regular updates on Nifty.
3633 Level for MArket or NIfty Contract.
Like now market is at 3656 and NIfty May Contract at 3627
So I am little bit confuse about these levels. So please clarify if have time.

Thanks a lot
 
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