Nifty Futures Trading Part 2 (Positional)

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satyamsit

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An R.S.I perspective:

3 occasions r shown on the pic. each and every time we have moved up after a divergence on rsi and trend line violation on the upside of rsi line and price line as well. But can anybody see the difference between the rsi formation of present with the last 2 times? there is two type of divergence we can get in a bullish or bearish divergence.
1) bullish/bearish divergence
2) Failure swing. (which carries much more importance than normal divergence)
this is the divergence with the price line only but one bottom has to be above/below the oversold/overbought zone. This higher bottom above/below oversold/overbought zone symbolizes more strength than a normal divergence does.
so in first two occasions we have got failure swing+trend line violation on the upside. on first occasion we got two failure swings b4 price moved up and broke the t.l and gave a brkout. that's called a triple bullish divergence. more strong one.
But what we have got now in third scenario.

only one divergence (not a failure swing).
RSI successfully tasted the trend line. (is one of the finest signal in oscillators). (a fresh shorting opportunity without a doubt)
Price far away of breaking down trend line.
so, what can we conclude?
Still it's a prefect shorting scenario. If not , it's not a buying scenario at all.

Thank you.
 

orderflow13

Well-Known Member
An R.S.I perspective:

3 occasions r shown on the pic. each and every time we have moved up after a divergence on rsi and trend line violation on the upside of rsi line and price line as well. But can anybody see the difference between the rsi formation of present with the last 2 times? there is two type of divergence we can get in a bullish or bearish divergence.
1) bullish/bearish divergence
2) Failure swing. (which carries much more importance than normal divergence)
this is the divergence with the price line only but one bottom has to be above/below the oversold/overbought zone. This higher bottom above/below oversold/overbought zone symbolizes more strength than a normal divergence does.
so in first two occasions we have got failure swing+trend line violation on the upside. on first occasion we got two failure swings b4 price moved up and broke the t.l and gave a brkout. that's called a triple bullish divergence. more strong one.
But what we have got now in third scenario.

only one divergence (not a failure swing).
RSI successfully tasted the trend line. (is one of the finest signal in oscillators). (a fresh shorting opportunity without a doubt)
Price far away of breaking down trend line.
so, what can we conclude?
Still it's a prefect shorting scenario. If not , it's not a buying scenario at all.

Thank you.
excellent post satyam.... you keeping me curious by ur posts.
nice observation, as a regular user of tl on oscillators i am admitting i missed this point ( divergence happened under oversold territory ).
totally agree its one of the rarest signal we could possibly see in our life time.I am learned from my teacher by his recent email ( sir elder alexander ) that what financial world experiencing is..in his word 'one of a market in century' ... ounce of gold witnessed higher price than s&p 500 few days back ( when gold topped out at $900 ), % falls are greater in succession in daily as no one remember when that happened before, volatility index made a top of multi year high .......
ending my post with my teachers word " When we see the divergence in chart and see market falling we have got The Hound of the Baskervilles, there is something wrong with fundamentals, a base framework of any market which we cant afford to detach!! "
 

orderflow13

Well-Known Member
ahhhh people,sorry had gone out with ol pals for a drink of coke......missed all the action...
all i can say is with your guidence we as a team shall cherish !
hatts off people!!!
l2d why i am feeling ur coke is intoxicating ???:D:D..lol..lol..
yup we might see panic bottom and njoy bro ..toast to the spirit of boarders ( i mean coke spirit )
 

satyamsit

Well-Known Member
excellent post satyam.... you keeping me curious by ur posts.
nice observation, as a regular user of tl on oscillators i am admitting i missed this point ( divergence happened under oversold territory ).
totally agree its one of the rarest signal we could possibly see in our life time.I am learned from my teacher by his recent email ( sir elder alexander ) that what financial world experiencing is..in his word 'one of a market in century' ... ounce of gold witnessed higher price than s&p 500 few days back ( when gold topped out at $900 ), % falls are greater in succession in daily as no one remember when that happened before, volatility index made a top of multi year high .......
ending my post with my teachers word " When we see the divergence in chart and see market falling we have got The Hound of the Baskervilles, there is something wrong with fundamentals, a base framework of any market which we cant afford to detach!! "
Bhaiya u just reminded me of hound of baskerville. Its one of the finest comparison one cud have imagined. it's a pleasure learning from all the seniors like u ,satda and ashishda n all here. what else i can say. And Sir elder is ur teacher? wow!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 

rishig38

Well-Known Member
SGX Nifty down 180 points in the opening...please confirm...

we might have a huge gap down...i would say we might have further 100-300 point downside but the upside potential increases exponentially...will look to cover shorts in case of gap down....
 
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