NIFTY Options Trading by RAJ

[bksujal]

Well it could be the other way round with the US govt shutdown here's my take:
7 Oct - 10 Oct - Make the market fall back to 5800-5850 due to more nervousness of the US Govt Shutdown
11 Oct - If Infy disappoints which is most likely due to high expectations Nifty could end up at 5500
12 Oct - 17 Oct - Kill premiums
18 Oct onwards the Debt Ceiling drama plays out
29, 30 Oct - Fed & RBI policy so if we have taper and repo rate increase Nifty might expire below 5500.

Thoughts?

 

[bapu4]

Hi,
Opt.tra. in his post earlier in this thread has mentioned that the OI data changes
fast during the intraday within minutes and that changes the whole game,IMO we should be able to monitor that data too so that we can decide timely on exit and entry of our positions.

 

[toocool]

Well it could be the other way round with the US govt shutdown here's my take:
7 Oct - 10 Oct - Make the market fall back to 5800-5850 due to more nervousness of the US Govt Shutdown
11 Oct - If Infy disappoints which is most likely due to high expectations Nifty could end up at 5500
12 Oct - 17 Oct - Kill premiums
18 Oct onwards the Debt Ceiling drama plays out
29, 30 Oct - Fed & RBI policy so if we have taper and repo rate increase Nifty might expire below 5500.

Thoughts?

Yes I have a thought

With this future telling you cannot make much money, it just wouldn't work. Spend time for something which can practically make some money.......... If you can't take position based on your analysis there is no use right?

 

[toocool]

@healthraj

You have provided a new outlook, atleast for me, as I never knew how to use option data, it's extremely interesting to see why there is so much oi @5400 put, looks like market is gonna get pretty volatile in the series, however I don't see it as manipulation, but there may be something we would not know before it happens...... But thanks to bring all this to notice :thumbup:

 

[umash2000]

Have considered strikes 5000-6300 for max pain calculation & get 5800 as max pain as of yesterday.

Now if one looks at call value% & Put value%,its 88:12 at 5950 & 93:7 at 6000.
At 5700 its 41:59(point of negativity) & at 5500 level it is 12:88 & at 5400 level it is 6:94

Thus,broadly it looks like range is 6000-5950-5700-5500-5400

Further,bigger movements away from option pain would take place during trending phase either upside or down.Now,nifty is in non-trend phase.

 

[ss16021981]

sir can u throw some light on sbin by seeing in oat what does volt chart show

 

[ss16021981]

pls check the image

 

[healthraj]

pls check the image

SBIN MAX OI 1600 - 1800. The VOLT chart indicates the same. The Chart indicates that below the 1550 Levels the Fall could be sharp. But right now it is not clear which way it would go. So it is better to play with the Flow. Looking at the overall OI the Trend for this month for SBIN is on the downside. So from that perspective it is a SELL on High. But High could be 1800 also

 

[ss16021981]

tks for the reply it help to understand ur sheet better
so can v try to buy put call both

 

[healthraj]

NIFTY Premium has come down to 32 from Friday's close of 50. There is also a Channel formation which indicates a BUY. But there is no Buy signal Yet. Risky can buy now with Stoploss