Nifty : Stats & Views

ranger123

Well-Known Member
#41
Welcome Dan sir, I am very happy to see your posting. Your message has me understand and I like the way you explain here only. I do not trading options in directional setup, I most has netural positions only some time I has directional position. I has learn options trading from you and has profit consitantly for last 6 months.

Here I was try to understanding how other senior fellows like Linkon7 sir is able to has separate thinking. But now he reply to my question and say that he do not keep it separate but mix it both to trade. I think my mind is not so powerful to use both such things (charts and market information) and before I use to get confuse by try to use both things. But now I use and will only use charts.

Thank you all for your answer. I has benefit from it very much.
 

linkon7

Well-Known Member
#45


so far chart still looks like scrambled eggs and trying to make sense out of this chart is not my bowl of pudding...!

last session FII bot 307 cr on cash market while market ended with a doji. The did buy 208 cr on index segment but but their OI remains at 16687 cr.

RIL's q4 results are not as per expectations but then reliance, like Saurav Ganguly has been kicked out of KKR long time back.... the nifty driver might as be TCS who has please analyst....


Maybe expiry week will bring some life back into the nifty. Toothless Aggression is seen intraday where a single bar defies the market direction and subsequent bars return it back to normalcy... Over all result is a bored trader who is waiting for this index to come out of the coma pattern....
 

linkon7

Well-Known Member
#46
Below is an excerpt of Udayan Mukherjee's comments of the day's trade on CNBC-TV18.


It was a strong close to the trading week on Dalal Street.

Blue chips commodity stocks like ONGC, Hindalco and Sesa Goa, shined in trade today and carried the Nifty past the 5,880 mark. The Sensex gained over 130 points to close just above the 19,600 mark.

Banks were in top form, with SBI and HDFC clocking over 2% gains.

Auto stocks too found great momentum. Maruti led the way with a 3% rally. Hero Honda too was back to winning ways after yesterday's pause.


It was a range-bound kind of trade today. Maybe the market wanted to consolidate after yesterday’s moves. Also, it was a long weekend it was going into, so maybe it considered it prudent not to extend itself too much ahead of the three day weekend. So we had a range-bound kind of session between 5,850 and 5,900, for most part of it. Market just bobbed around a little bit and finally closed 30 points higher.

Of course, it was helped on by commodities today. Globally, the weakness of the dollar index is egged on commodities. We could see the impact on names like ONGC, Sesa Goa, Hindalco, Sterlite and JSPL — that was a segment, which really revved up the market.

Banks also did well today. State Bank of India after a long time put on a couple of percentage points. HDFC and HDFC Bank were quite active as well and a couple of those auto names like Maruti and Hero Honda did well as well.

Reliance remained quite range-bound on the day of its results but TCS reacted a bit. The results did not have any positive surprise, unlike the last few quarters and the stock had run up quite a bit so it just adjusted a little bit, a couple of percentage points post the event. (Here is how the numbers looked)

Capital goods was the one space, which looked a bit wobbly today. So BHEL, Siemens, other largecap names like GMR and IRB Infra also came down today.

In fact, the market breadth was not special. We had more declining stocks compared to advancing names today. The midcap index lagged the Nifty and the Sensex clearly but there were pockets of outperformance. So, names like Arvind, Alok and S Kumars in the textile space along with Apollo Tyres, Ceat and MRF in tyres looked pretty impressive. The odd winners like VIP, Lovable Lingerie, ING Vysya Bank — those names all looked pretty good today.

Some losers like Indiabulls Realty, Kanoria Chemicals particularly and PFC and KRBL also closed on the wrong side today.

But otherwise quite day, but it's been a good comeback during the course of the week. Earnings have largely been good this week compared to what we saw on Friday, last with Infosys. That's the reason that the Nifty has been able to comeback quite smartly from 5,700 to 5,900 kinds of levels again.
 

praveen taneja

Well-Known Member
#47
Highest call concentration at 6000 strike of Nifty.
Highest put concentration at 5700 strike of Nifty.
Hence the range is clear till expiry next week.
Although they keep changing, hence need to be viewed everyday on EOD basis.
But surely unlikely to go above 6000 in this expiry it seems..




(both the) Charts courtesy : Options Oracle

so that mean playing with 5900 call and put for max gain would be a good Idea:!:yahoo::eat:
 

tnsn2345

Well-Known Member
#50
Dear Linkon,

Nice initiative to analyse the market behaviour and to give broad forecast for the likelyhood of future. There may not be many who may analyse or want to analyse, but I do believe that such analysis may help to define boundaries for a trading range and then you can plan your trading strategy within these parameters.

Unfortunately the most difficult part of market analysis is on it's interpretation and IMO this is beyond the 'common sense' approach which one can follow and trade the charts. To analyse the market requires continuty, the thought behind the market action, the premption of market participants hitting below the belt and 'whatif' scenario estimation. It is like a story and once you get hold of the story you can ride it for some time and benefit till some 'suspense' (which we are not able to read) unfolds and then again it take so time to understand and follow the story after that twist.

Again what is important IMO is how much time and attention we give such data. Over spending time and giving too much emphasis and keenly observing with a microscope leads to the saying - 'If you torture data too much it will confesss any crime'. So just a glance and basis grasping is good enough to use such data interpretaion which can be powerful enough to help trade confidently.

Regards,
 

Similar threads