Restoring Traders/Investors Faith into Investing

[Snip3r]

Hi
Anybody knows why TCS corrected today by more than 5% despite phenomenal results? Is the market run by some secret cabal which decides the movement of share price?

 

[Einstein]

I did analysis on top 'bluechip' IT companies like on HCL tech, TCS, Infosys.
as per my valuation model (which don't work accurately on banks and IT). i get to conclusion that all these companies NOW are fairly valued. so anyone invest into these companies now, will get maximum 10-15% gain by the end of year. anything above that will be expensive for that stock which in future should correct. so I m Neutral on IT stocks now.

regarding secret cable, there are mutual fund and hedge funds which have billions of rupee invested in tcs, if they want to lower their stake in TCS stock can correct more than 2% within minutes.

 

[roketsingh]

There would be correction as long as result is not as per market expectation.

The result that you are talking about could be phenomenal in its own respect but when you look at the price TCS is commanding over its peers its result is not so good.

Market expected that TCS would beat the forecast which it didn't. Now, next question that you might ask is how it would fall then it is factor of demand and supply and what general consensus is.

You could also look this fact in several other companies where they might have delivered EPS of -0.5 but still they rose to 5%-10%. Again, the bottom line is if consensus is -1.0 and they are delivering -0.5 which is they are beating the expectation and can demand higher price. People who are paying higher price would know that company can deliver better result.

 

[hauler]

I did analysis on top 'bluechip' IT companies like on HCL tech, TCS, Infosys.
as per my valuation model (which don't work accurately on banks and IT). i get to conclusion that all these companies NOW are fairly valued. so anyone invest into these companies now, will get maximum 10-15% gain by the end of year. anything above that will be expensive for that stock which in future should correct. so I m Neutral on IT stocks now.

regarding secret cable, there are mutual fund and hedge funds which have billions of rupee invested in tcs, if they want to lower their stake in TCS stock can correct more than 2% within minutes.

Hmmm..
talking about investing and worrying about 2% drop ? It can drop 5% even on bad results from Infy.

 

[Einstein]

Stock performance of previously posted 'good companies' in 2013

 

[Einstein]

Portfolio 2014

alembic pharma and marico are confirmed buy. Lets see how much profit this baby will generate in 2014.
Hope this will give some idea to new investor for their investments.

 

[hauler]

Here is my list of stocks (mostly consisting of midcaps) if anyone is interested. ---
Name Last price
Orient Cement Ltd 36.5
Indraprastha Gas Limited 263.45
Corporation Bank 264
Tide Water Oil India Ltd 7,081.00
Foseco India Limited 525
Grindwell Norton Ltd. 250
Sundaram Finance Limited 594.9
WIM Plast Ltd 404
Balkrishna Industries... 305
Swaraj Engines Limited 619.95
Mayur Uniquoters Limited 349
VST Tillers Tractors... 687.05
FDC Limited (Parent) 132.3
FAG Bearings India... 1,542.15
Astra Microwave...

 

[Einstein]

question: when was this created and what is overall return?? (unable to see properly).

 

[Einstein]

very speculative portfolio, except Balkrisna industries and swaraj engines all are looking bad.

 

[hauler]

very speculative portfolio, except Balkrisna industries and swaraj engines all are looking bad.

Einstein,
Not exactly. Some of these have been in my portfolio for a long time. Most of them i booked earlier than i should- I have relooked at them and then have decided to go back to some of them. Sundaram finance has been a 6 bagger for me in 8 years and still holding. i am not looking for multi-baggers and for most of the stocks the ROE has been good.
I removed the total returns part because it would have been too subjective.

you can call them costly, but not speculative by any means.