TWH, Dont we wait till just before close to see whether or not a Bar has touched 3 ema or not and then exit!!! My understanding is that there will be very many days when price gaps up a bit stays up w/o touching 3 EMA and in latter half come down to touch it. Was this action preempted by you or this we follow as a rule!!
Now today if the Price bar does not come down and touch the EMA do we exit long ?
Please reply per your convenience!!!
Regards.
-R K Karnani
This is an excellent question RKKarnani and worth spending time to answer it at length to make it clear.
The thumb rule is that if the current candle is not touching 3 EMA we exit immediately irrespective of whether its 10 AM in morning or 3.25 PM. We exit at that point and re-enter when we see a current EOD candle touching 3 EMA. However this is relevant when we get a BIG gap up (or down for shorts).
On small gap up days where the distance between todays candle and 3 EMA is not that great, you can hold your positions instead of exiting immediately until 3.25 PM. This is becuase its possible that markets continue to go up throughout the day and hence pull the EMA up with it making it touch the candle at the candle's lower body.
Alternatively on small gap days, you can book at opening price, check where 3 EMA is at that point ... and re-enter at that level without waiting for visual 3 EMA touch. For eg today this is what I did today, NF booked at 5142 in the morinng itself since 3 EMA was not touching at that point. I checked 3 EMA level and it was at 5108 at that point. I placed a buy order immediately at 5108. I also put in a stop loss buy order at 5160 in case NF went up later in the day which would have pulled the 3 EMA along with it making it touch the candle.
Mkts fell and my 5108 buy order got filled. Now mkts have closed at 5122 levels and 3 EMA is still not touching the candle. Hence I should have booked my NF longs as per 315 today at 5122 around 3.25 PM
Basically the net result of the 315 trade till now should be:
Bought NF at 5025 sold at 5142, profits = 117 points
Bought NF at 5108 sold at 5122, profits = 14 points
Now as per 315 people should be empty handed waiting to enter longs again at 3 EMA touch.
(Pls note though that I am still long in NF and short in ICICI Bank at closing price based on some other strategies I use along with 315)
Hope this helps rather than confuse further....
Cheers
SH