Some of my forecasts

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4xpipcounter

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Kraaja, you've made some good points.

I'm not saying we won't get a move to 1.5000 or even 1.5200. I am saying from current level we are going to get a reversal. Candlestick pattern pros will tell you this is the end of the line for the EUR/USD because of the perfect, beautiful looking butterfly pattern on the monthly.
When I say reversal, I am not talking about anything terminal, necessarily. It could be something that could satisfy a minimum objective of 1.3936. Personally, I won't know if it is terminal until I see the nature of the reversal.

Smartrade, as most of us know, is one of the most respected traders in this forum. I have no doubt that he is an excellent trader. From a traders' psychology point of view, I could hit the "thanks" button on about everything he says. You probably knew I was drawing up to something, so here goes:
I think even Smartrade will agree with this next comment. Methodologically, we do not have to agree in order to maintain a personal respect and for our personal method to still produce. One area in our trading methods we disagree, is the notion of the stochastics. As long as I understand him right, he says to wait for 5 candles of being OB, and then look to initiate the trade. Nifty was OB on the 4-hour for 22 candles before it peaked.
The weekly is something I don't even consider right now because it is still rising. The signal line just barely touched 85, so it just entered OB territory this week. Both need to be there to give a legitimate signal.
Even though I use the stochastics, it is not a major player in my methodology. Something tells me that by now even your dog knows I love the ichimoku and my proprietary S&R's. Those are the staples in my methodology, along with the TL's.

This is also a case (At least for now.) that I cannot say if you are right or wrong, because I do not know if what should be a very imminent reversal for the pair is going to be terminal.

In closing, let me say to use this forum as a gathering of ideas in order to formulate a successful, workable methodology. You will find by reading Linkon's thread that he and I will share different perspectives on the ichimoku. I already mentioned the different perspectives me and Smartrade have on the stochastics. We have a difference in those perceptions, but we are still winners, because our trading system is catered to what is best for us. This is what this forum is all about.

LOL, if you want to go to Ichimoku Hyo Kinko 101, this is not the thread for that. All I'm good for are excellent forecasts. It's Linkon's thread for that. I was amazed at the work he put into that when I first read it.



dear paul.. i have observed weekly eur/usd chart... in that chart i noticed that stochastic is oversold zone.. more than 5 bars.. so .. according to smart trade post... i feel some more upside left.. correct me if i am wrong.. based on my analysis eur/usd is going to reach 1.5200 lvls..just learning from ichimoku charts.. :d
 
I agree with 4xpipcounter , eurusd has indeed reached the end of the line, rate hikes do not strengthen a currency, they are indeed meant to weaken the currency to control inflation.

with economy so fragile, rate hike by ecb is a double edged sword, there are already talks of 5 nations deciding to quit European union.
 

4xpipcounter

Well-Known Member
Re: Paradox?

It's just another perspective on methodologies. I like the example of using stochastics by Smartrade. He uses it the way he does, and is general trading plan is right, and it produces winning trades. I use it completely different then he does, but I also win.
Don Haines and Ed Matts uses Elliot Wave differently than "The Great One", Max McKegg, but they are all winners.
The people at Action Forex has a complete different type of methodology while implementing EW, and they win.
Linkon uses different settings on the ichimoku. I use the standard. We both win using the ichimoku.
So, who is right!? I am!! (No, no just kidding.) Everyone is right in spite of their diverseness. Check the respective equity curves in just viewing their analysis, and then tell me their wrong.

Once again, if you are a newbie or learning to trade, use the forum as a means of collecting ideas. Find your favorites, latch on, ask questions, make comments, and then experiment using the ideas that best fits your personality.
 

4xpipcounter

Well-Known Member
Shivani, LOL, go back to post # 533. I can't relate to the fundamental data. I'm only using my charts.
It better reverse quickly, or the bulls are going to have a heyday. The next confluential level is 1.4448--53.
I'm short now, but my stop is tight.


I agree with 4xpipcounter , eurusd has indeed reached the end of the line, rate hikes do not strengthen a currency, they are indeed meant to weaken the currency to control inflation.

with economy so fragile, rate hike by ecb is a double edged sword, there are already talks of 5 nations deciding to quit European union.
 

4xpipcounter

Well-Known Member
The yen crosses

Once the drops officializes, the following supports will be seen:
AUD/JPY--86.66 is on the radar, and the circa area of 83.23 should be containment.
NZD/JPY--63.87 is on the radar, and the circa area of 62.78 should be containment.
CAD/JPY--86.43 is on the radar, and the circa area of 84.08 should be containment.
GBP/JPY--134.23 should be containment.
CHF/JPY--91.27 is on the radar.
EUR/JPY--118.94 is on the radar.
USD/JPY--83.53 is on the radar.
 

4xpipcounter

Well-Known Member
Saivenkat, you're right! Oil is out of control.
My weeklies, needless to say, are not ready for next week, so the best I can do at this point is approximate.

As I see it now, the approximate WR2 is going to be 114.72. The market is very OB, and for next week, I was look to the WR2 to contain, and possibly see another sizable correction. Possible containment on the correction would be 98.02, but that is not confirmed yet.

LT, the all-time high will be challenged at 147.23. The only thing that will avert the LT view is a firm break of 93.87.


QUOTE=saivenkat;538906]Bumping in,

@ 4xpips bro



Where will crude stop? Its soaring higher and higher? .. In at 112 levels.[/QUOTE]
 

4xpipcounter

Well-Known Member
Hi Johney, How you trade and develop your methodology is up to you. Trading is highly personal. You have to do what is best for your makeup and personality. Some like to position trade, others like to daytrade, and then others like to scalp. Some are momentum traders, others like the Elliot Wave, others like indicators, others like trading price action, and others like to trade candlesticks and candlestick patterns. As I have said many times (I know you are new.), use this site as a place to collect ideas, experiment, and slowly but surely develop a methodology. Also, keep asking questions and making comments.


Hi Everybuddy,

I am new to share market. Give me some idea how to trade. And suggest me broker which will take less brokage.
 
Hi Johney, How you trade and develop your methodology is up to you. Trading is highly personal. You have to do what is best for your makeup and personality. Some like to position trade, others like to daytrade, and then others like to scalp. Some are momentum traders, others like the Elliot Wave, others like indicators, others like trading price action, and others like to trade candlesticks and candlestick patterns. As I have said many times (I know you are new.), use this site as a place to collect ideas, experiment, and slowly but surely develop a methodology. Also, keep asking questions and making comments.
thanks for the thought
 
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