The rally which we saw today could not have been anticipated in advance,although i agree the growth story remains positive.Today`s reasons are being described as short covering rally(I`ve heard that before).
A short covering will take the markets up 3% that is insane. Plus who said the rally could not have been anticipated in advance. All the technical indicators were giving oversold positions. Global Markets outperforming our markets for last 2-3 weeks. Some people say that our markets have outperformed the global markets and we should have a steep correction I don't agree with that because our markets when they fell they fell over 70% from its peak whereas other markets fell 30%-35% so called US UK and other European Indicies.
Russia fell the most in the global downturn and so did Brazil and they have recovered over 120% in 2009 alone. Our market according to those markets is still lagging behind.
Bond yields going up, a sign that investors are willing to move to risky asset. I did not hear any bad news on Indian market apart from Inflation and a rumor about interest rate going up which was one of the main reason that markets fell as markets already discounted the news then actually waiting for it to happen.
And did I ever say no stop losses read my thread please I said alleviate the stop loss that means I had stop losses in place and kept on alleviating them.
But the short cover story seems horrendous I would have still digested that markets went up because of a positive comment from our Finance Minister who gave hope of reaching 10% growth in next 2-3 years.
Regards
Nimish