Re: Should we start an Indicator thread?
The beauty of Technical analysis lies in its interpretation without sacrificing the Objectivity of the system..
I don't remember whether i shared this here or not, but i am tempted to share it, excuse me if it's redundant...
few hundred years back medical science knew nothing about the human body, not much compared to todays level of understanding...
someone stood up and might have said, hey look the heart beats make a noise and as it is coming from within the system ie. the body, it should know more about the body than us, and it should be an indicator of the body's function. he was right, medical practitioners started with simple pipes to hear the heart beat and went on to invent the stethoscope. It did serve as an indicator for a couple of decades...
then came the next indicator, the pulse rate and together they ruled the medical world for quite sometime, in this past 10 years no one ever checked my pulses from myy wrist.. a common practice sometime back...
In the old days the only indicator that they had were this two, then came thermometer and a new indicator was measured , the body temperature and together this three were enough to take care of the 90% commonly know diseases... then someone stood up and might have said, hey every time i am feverish I pee yellowish, so may be the urine knows more about body as it's the data that comes from the body within... and then started a new field of pathological science....
Technical Analysis is similar to the Medical Science advance, as per my opinion... As medical science takes each data from the body eg. temperature, pulse, blood pressure, cardiogram, urine, blood samples, weight, etc etc and tries to analyse it and come out with the diagnosis, the same way we as technical analyst, take the data, eg, the volume, price, high low, open close, oversold levels, overbought levels, buys sellers, resistances, supports, etc etc.... each serves as the data similar to our body data... and these Market datas are the datas that come from the Market within, they know more about the Market then we do...
Now, the pathologist might try using different chemicals and atmosphere, and we as TA use differnt formulaes and their combinations and permutations.... the idea is to come out with a logic that is more right than wrong.. and then just to believe and apply it...
All the complex surgeries were first performed on the dead body and similarly all new systems should be successful in the historical data... once you gain confidence you go live... I don't think there is much of a difference between the Medical analyst and teh Technical Analyst...
Now the data available in the Market is same the application for the indi is different... Price Action raw will be like checking the pulses or with stethoscope... and a indicator on price action would be like a Cardio gram test :lol: just to draw an analogy...
Now there are experts who only need to the check the pulse and diagnose but I am the new generation Doc, I need a cardio gram test to pinn point the problem... I think that's what a modern technical analyst is...
I don't intend to refute anyone out here. I understand every trader has his/her own perceptions which seem to work quite well for them. As far as my perception regarding this goes, I feel "some" indicators are more (if not less) forward looking than price. The trick is to actually know how and when to use them.
I am basically a medium term trader as most of you guys know. But when I trade on swing basis or on week basis, then most of the time I simply pick up trades seeing some indicators. For me, derivatives of price (that is, indicators) hold no less value than the essential entity itself.
Just my perception. May be its wrong. But it works for me. There's always the other side of a coin.
Nice effort going by everyone here.
Tc