Questions for ST/Ritesh and others interested:
ST: We recently had the code call out tops in Axis Bank and Bajaj Auto. This is within the last 2 weeks and the price is still near the top so nothing has changed with respect to RR. I wonder if the passage of 2 weeks (but no opposite setup yet) invalidates this? Should we be able to short these even now?
** To be correct, Axis bank is available at a price better than what Sequential called out, and Bajaj auto is available at a price worse than what Sequential called out - but I see this as minor deltas.
SJD,
A sell signal is valid till the market proves it wrong. Normally after a sell signal, market starts sinking but I have also seen the market in distribution mode even for 4-5 weeks and then cracking. Same holds good for buy signals.
A sell signal not working out quickly could mean one of the following :
1) Smart money is distributing their stock and that distribution is still not over.
OR 2) The supply/demand equation underneath the market is changing and we may get a fresh upmove thereby hitting the stops.
I would not assume which one is playing out, so take the short trade ( may be on smaller qty) and let the market make the final decision of which way it wants to go. If the short trade works out, great....if the stops are hit , still great as we now know that the market is going to go much higher so there is money to be made on long side , both are win win situations for a trader.
Smart_trade
Smart_trade
ST: We recently had the code call out tops in Axis Bank and Bajaj Auto. This is within the last 2 weeks and the price is still near the top so nothing has changed with respect to RR. I wonder if the passage of 2 weeks (but no opposite setup yet) invalidates this? Should we be able to short these even now?
** To be correct, Axis bank is available at a price better than what Sequential called out, and Bajaj auto is available at a price worse than what Sequential called out - but I see this as minor deltas.
SJD,
A sell signal is valid till the market proves it wrong. Normally after a sell signal, market starts sinking but I have also seen the market in distribution mode even for 4-5 weeks and then cracking. Same holds good for buy signals.
A sell signal not working out quickly could mean one of the following :
1) Smart money is distributing their stock and that distribution is still not over.
OR 2) The supply/demand equation underneath the market is changing and we may get a fresh upmove thereby hitting the stops.
I would not assume which one is playing out, so take the short trade ( may be on smaller qty) and let the market make the final decision of which way it wants to go. If the short trade works out, great....if the stops are hit , still great as we now know that the market is going to go much higher so there is money to be made on long side , both are win win situations for a trader.
Smart_trade
Smart_trade