Thomas DeMark Sequential System

TopGearTrader and Smart Trade



This is my rendition of Sequential. It seems to be matching with the bloomberg for 3 Seq#s but seems to be skipping the two (May/Jun) and (Aug/Sep)

Have to check whether I have missed data or applying some exclusion rule incorrectly.

Quick eyeballing for the entire screen is easy but it gets difficult to focus on each candle on Bloomberg screen and it becomes very very hard to compare candle by candle....

So, this leads me to a question/request. Is it possible to quickly run some kind of scanner or explorer on bloomberg that would extract a date wise list as to what part of TD SEQ happened on what date.

Basically, it would be like Setup phase ran from 3rd Oct to 15th Oct (3, 4, 7,8,9,10,11, 14, 15). Countdown completed on 2nd December spanning over 30 bars ( 18/10, 21, 22, 23, 29, 30, 31, 1/11, 18/11, 19, 25, 26, 29/11 and 2/12) Safest Entry Signal yet to emerge.

I think today (9 Dec) is going to be the Peak, so "Safest Entry signal" will appear on 10th if Close drops below 6260 or on 11th..

I have also implemented COMBO but unable to get around to plotting it in any meaningful manner ... I guess that to plot both together, I'll have to get rid of my background shades
Very good mastermind007...

I saw in your last post you said count down gets cancelled if there is intersection between countdown bars and set up bars....there is no such condition. The condition is if any bar subsequent to setup completion closes above the TDST level of that set up, then set up and countdown gets cancelled. I thought I should clarify this point to avoid any confusion.

Smart_trade
 
Requirements for a TD Combo Buy Countdown Version I (Strict Version)
1. The close must be less than, or equal to, the low two price bars earlier;
2. Each TD Combo Buy Countdown low must be less than, or equal to, the low of the prior price bar;
3. Each TD Combo Buy Countdown close must be less than the previous TD Combo Buy Countdown close; and
4. Each TD Combo Buy Countdown close must be less than the close of the prior
price bar.
Above text is from Jason Perl's book on page 60.

What is precise difference between Point 3 and point 4. I mean, what does he exactly mean by "previous TD Combo Buy Countdown close"

Another phrase that are bit unclear are True High, True Low.

Did not know that definitions of few of those things were so simple

Code:
Camouflage = Close < Ref(Close, -1) AND Close > Open AND Low < Ref(LLV(Low, 2), -1); // And Low < TrueLow(...);
Clop = Open < Ref(Close, -1) AND Open < Ref(Close, -1) AND Close > Ref(Close, -1) AND Close > Ref(Close, -1);
Clopwin = Open > Min(Ref(Open, -1), Ref(Close, -1)) AND Close > Max(Ref(Open, -1), Ref(Close, -1));
OpenBuy = Open < Ref(Low, -1) AND Close > Ref(Low, -1);
TrapBuy = Open > Ref(Low, -1) AND Open < Ref(High, -1) AND Close > Ref(High, -1);
 
Above text is from Jason Perl's book on page 60.

What is precise difference between Point 3 and point 4. I mean, what does he exactly mean by "previous TD Combo Buy Countdown close"

Another phrase that are bit unclear are True High, True Low.

Did not know that definitions of few of those things were so simple

Code:
Camouflage = Close < Ref(Close, -1) AND Close > Open AND Low < Ref(LLV(Low, 2), -1); // And Low < TrueLow(...);
Clop = Open < Ref(Close, -1) AND Open < Ref(Close, -1) AND Close > Ref(Close, -1) AND Close > Ref(Close, -1);
Clopwin = Open > Min(Ref(Open, -1), Ref(Close, -1)) AND Close > Max(Ref(Open, -1), Ref(Close, -1));
OpenBuy = Open < Ref(Low, -1) AND Close > Ref(Low, -1);
TrapBuy = Open > Ref(Low, -1) AND Open < Ref(High, -1) AND Close > Ref(High, -1);
There is a difference between condition 3 and 4. Normally both get satisfied but in some cases only one gets satisfied and other is not satisfied so that bar does not become a combo countdown bar.

True high is high of the bar or the previous bar's close whichever is higher. True low is low of the bar or previous bar's close whichever is lower. They vary in case of bars opening with gaps.

Smart_trade
 
Very good mastermind007...

I saw in your last post you said count down gets cancelled if there is intersection between countdown bars and set up bars....there is no such condition. The condition is if any bar subsequent to setup completion closes above the TDST level of that set up, then set up and countdown gets cancelled. I thought I should clarify this point to avoid any confusion.

Smart_trade
Guruji

I think we are talking of the same rule but in different words. The exact rule that I have implemented during Buy Countdown that can cause cancellation are

RULE #1 a Bearish Flip. (first bar of Sell Setup)

RULE #2 Close of current candle being higher than Highest High within Setup and all preceding countdown candles.

Now, since the murky subject of countdown cancellation has emerged, this is what I have collated thus far.

Demark mentioned it in his book (The New Science ....) on page 158 (2nd para) Statement .... "Two situations ... "

First condition given in the book is very simple to understand and implemented correctly. Second condition in talks about Recycling and I impement a conditional Recycling which decides whether or not to abandon countdown depending upon relative Length of the existing setup and the newly emerged setup of the same direction.

Next, Referring to a seemingly more recent document from Tom and Rocke Demark. Link to Document is here, starting from the last line on page 30 and carrying onwards to page 31, he said it thus

There are two events that cancel a buy Countdown prior to completion:

The first occurs if, subsequent to the completion of a buy Setup, a price bar’s low and the prior price bar’s close are both above the highest price of the entire buy Setup series. In these instances, the buy Setup is cancelled and you must begin to look for a new Setup series. The second ...
Further to that, a checklist (in post 243 of this thread) that was uploaded by Apurva says following.

Countdown
....
Cancellation
An intraday high which is higher than the highest close in setup/countdown: N
An intraday high which is higher than the highest high in setup/countdown: N
Close higher than highest close: N
Close higher than highest high: N
Close higher than highest true high: N
Contradictory set up appeared: N
Conditions mentioned in Apurva's checklist are actually redundant and boil down to only two (a) Close above Highest High OR (b) Close above Highest Close. Fortunately, from programming point of view, I can optimise further and only need to deal with only one of these rule for any candle to abort the Countdown.

There are few more rules that affect Countdown (deferment rule, 18 bar rule, 8-13 etc ...) from different sources that are mentioned in bit cryptic. I have implemented 'em but deploying them one by one into the AFL.
 
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trade4joisar

Well-Known Member
Tata Steel
-------------

Yesterday price closed above previous 4 candle closing price
Today price closed below previous 4 candle closing price

Buy setup initialized, Now 9 sequential candles should closed below previous 4 candle price.

Let see how it goes

Please correct me if i am wrong.

 
Downloaded and played with the grafster today and subsequently interacted with Peter (vendor @ grafster) which lead to improvement in cancellation as well as display logic. Got my chart matching 100% with Grafster.

Earlier I had been discarding the incomplete setup and cancelled countdowns not realizing the potential of a failed indicator in this case. Yes, I had read the line somewhere, but my overhead tubelight never went on until today. :D

I still discard the incomplete setups. I hope they aren't used too.



Meaning of shape's being plotted has not changed. Hiding Dashboard reveals the setup and countdown area at the bottom. First color is setup. once it plateaus, the countdown starts. Unless countdown rises above the setup, no need to worry.

Next, will figure out a way to render Combo.
 
Tata Steel
-------------
Yesterday price closed above previous 4 candle closing price
Today price closed below previous 4 candle closing price

Buy setup initialized, Now 9 sequential candles should closed below previous 4 candle price.

Let see how it goes

Please correct me if i am wrong.


t4j

Your observation about today's and yesterday's candle is correct but you will find that thing also holding true on 30th and 31st October.
Check and you will find C > Ref(C, -4) rules holding true between those dates also.

Most recent Sell Setup of tatasteel started on 31st October and completed/intersected on 13 November.

Currently, TD Sell Countdown has reached 12 as of 6 December.
 

trade4joisar

Well-Known Member
t4j

Your observation about today's and yesterday's candle is correct but you will find that thing also holding true on 30th and 31st October.
Check and you will find C > Ref(C, -4) rules holding true between those dates also.

1. Most recent Sell Setup of tatasteel started on 31st October and completed/intersected on 13 November.

Currently, 2. TD Sell Countdown has reached 12 as of 6 December.
Thanks for your reply.

I still need to learn lot in TDST, so there might be simple questions.

What do you mean here?

1. What do you mean by intersected here? 9 countdown completed by 8th candle gave intersection and all ? and then it was buy signal there ?

2. We still need to have countdown 13 which will be closed higher than 6th countdown ? and what is close of 6th countdown?
 
Thanks for your reply.

I still need to learn lot in TDST, so there might be simple questions.

What do you mean here?

1. What do you mean by intersected here? 9 countdown completed by 8th candle gave intersection and all ? and then it was buy signal there ?

2. We still need to have countdown 13 which will be closed higher than 6th countdown ? and what is close of 6th countdown?
t4j

Download and read this small PDF to get the initial idea of the TDST.

After that, my recommendation to you would be read this thread from start. Thread started in 2008 and most of the rules are mentioned in first few pages itself. They've been repeated and S.T. da has provided answers from time to time and they're great to read.

All middle pages are routine stuff but do scan/visit each page at least once because from time-to-time, ppl have added few interesting things. Someone has also shared a book from PERL which I downloaded last week only.

I had purchased the paper copy of the original demark book before discovering its PDF online ...
 
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