Dear All,
At present I am buying in this market. I haven't shorted a single stock except for DLF which I shorted at 348 & 316 and rid it till levels of 270 and few trades on Tata steel. Over the period of two days, most of my portfolio holdings have been narrowed down to 1-2 stocks. That is, I have invested almost 75% of my available capital on 2 stocks with extremely tight stop losses.
The thing that is slightly bothering me is the fact that leadership in market (Banking sector) is showing some cracks. We still need to be very careful about getting judgemental here and should wait for more clarity to emerge. On a broader note, I am still very bullish and would review my stance at the end of next week as markets will dish out more information for us to base our assessment on. I still think we are undergoing a routine correction in a Bull market and the phrases of Bear market should be kept at a distance. Markets usually don't turn completely in and out in a week's time. Hence at the most if I have to bet on Bull market being over, I would bet more on a side ways market rather than a Bear market.
All the negative news flowing through the system is in a way good. I look at this process as a self cleansing mechanism of the market. Eventually, it will glow more and give more. Just hang on with strict discipline. Amongst all of you, I have had the worst two weeks. I am currently down 10% of net value (draw down) and have got my 11th consecutive swing trade loss. This is primarily because I am fighting the trend on the smaller frame but sticking with it on the broader frame. Whenever the tide turns, I will make back much more than what is lost. So as of now, till the end of next week, I am still buying.
Eventually, if the market has to turn, it will turn by giving us enough time to capitalize on it. Till then, enjoy your weekend and be positive.
Tc