Nowdays is probably that time of the year when market supports do not exist and resistance does not matter. Though our market, on a standalone basis,
doesnt have any issues barring inflation problem, we are still falling on global cues; reason being liquidity.
March 2009, most of the world indices made lows and depicted strong upward traction since then. At that point in time, your dollar index was at 89 levels and gold was trading around 930$/Oz.
In uncertain times, world moves towards safer assets like currency and if not paper currency then ancient currency Gold. Today too, we are seeing dollar index around 87 and gold near 1200$/Oz, but equity markets are far higher than their March 2009 lows. Either, $ and Gold should correct significantly or Equity markets.
I believe it should be equity markets; not to those lows but substantially from current levels, as dollar and gold may not correct due to debt and currency problems in Euro region.
Bounce-backs are due to short covering and falls are due to cash base selling and formation of short positions. Implied volatility of puts surged to 30.19% day before and has slightly cooled off, but may increase further as global cues are suggesting further downside. These signs are that of bearish market.
For May series on 20-May, we saw unwinding in 4800 put option for first time where most of the put writers are standing. This is not encouraging. Also June series, 4800 and 4700 put has started building decent positions which is more of buying in such times.
Metal stocks may continue their downward move and banking may also correct due to long unwinding first and then followed by formation of shorts. Its just matter of time that RIL will give way to correction if it closes below 980 levels.:clap::clap::clap:
Next tgt after 4850 is 4705:clap: