NIFTY hits resistance
5250 finally gave a Iron resistance to NIFTY on its move up. Those closed positive with a fifth consecutive up closing day. MACD Histogram is reaching higher and higher with every passing day, adding strength to the prevailing bullishness. Market is not trending on the Daily time frame, so a snap back to the value zone is possible.
5200 will hold support on the immediate move down, on break down 5150 or 5100 is also likely. Hourly chart though has a very strong MACD lines have given up bullish strength after a prolonged dearth of the bulls for the market. MACD Histogram moves down below zero in a strong pitch, breaking the back of the bull. After this even if the bulls try to run they will fall down in a short distance, in that case 5290 will hold strong resistance.
We are running one trade each on both Swing and Trend system. While the trend trade is positive with a lock of close to 150 points, our Swing long position is trailing. The last bar low of 5221.00 is the exit level. The value zone on the closing bar is at 5184-5212. If the low is not taken off, swing long trade continues to hold with stop moving to the next ensuing bar low until there is an up tick. As NIFTY is in trend, there are opportunities to trade again on breach of previous bar high even after the existing trade gets stopped out.
In case the market drifts lower and price closes below the slow EMA, we have to reverse position to short on both systems. We will keep updating and comments on as the market unfolds every hour.