NIFTY for today.
NIFTY on the daily chart hits the roof, price on the daily chart reaches the over valued zone. The coincidence of both the resistance and the channel at the same levels is a wonderful pattern. Daily chart is off trend yet, but its MACD histogram is reaching for higher highs. The markets closed at the highest level of the day, but continuation from here seems to be a little time consuming. NIFTY will rest here for a while and then resumes its journey, in the time it relaxes what can happen?
As the daily chart is not in trend, there are possibilities for a retracement to value or nearest supports. Value zone today is at 5103-5132 on the daily chart. As the value zone is quite far away, the nearest supports will hold the market on its move down. Supports exist at 5250, 5220 & 5200 levels. The next area of strong resistance is at 5350.
The hourly chart of yesterday was a Michael Angelos painting on the markets wall; we can see the dip after our swing long entry and then a smooth take off, taking along all the swing positions. Our stop loss played a dramatic role today. The closing bar had an uptick, so we stay in wait for the first hour to pan out. It is likely that the exit for the swing trade is around the corner. Where to exit? First hour market moves will give us the required signal.
With the US markets closing flat on the floor & Japan scratching the same at open, we are likely to see a small range on the first hour and know what? That is at our advantage, a small range and a down tick thats it, out swing will get a beautiful closing.
There is a very strong bearish divergence on both MACD and its histogram on the hourly charts; the back of the bull is broken. So, it cannot run far. This was the call we had in many of our recent posts. That has been recorded now, our swing bull danced, made merry but is fast losing its energy. While our Trend bull is partying with a 260 points peak gain and a 175 points lock in profit.
Just being with the flow and following the rules with discipline has brought us here. There was no holy grail or any such thing used. It was an open book for every one to have a look and we had a rough patch too. Traders take note, that it is not a smooth ride all the way, but we get a chance to take loads of cash often. Please do not miss it, trading your systems with full trust, belief and faith is the only HOLY GRAIL.