NIFTY has many interesting patterns
Daily chart opens out into a bullish trend but gets a down tick, while there are advancing bearish signs on the hourly charts. Whereas weekly is non-trending yet. NIFTY has turned down facing stiff resistance at the 5290 levels; now the market may stabilize, get support and resume its journey ahead to the next resistance at 5350 or has a probability to reach the daily value zone before making an attempt to the resistance. Value zone on the daily chart is at 5149-5114, NIFTY has to reach this level to get a swing long trade in the daily chart NIFTY,it to make a long downhill journey, while there are possibilities for an intersection in between the closing price of NIFTY and the value zone levels. If that has to happen market has to go sideways.
What is more likely? Checking with the hourly charts which has retraced very strong bearish divergence on both MACD and MACD Histogram, after having some failed long trades has a fairly good chance to turn into a bearish trend. On turning bearish we are likely to see the index near 5200 levels which at present has a very strong support and a congestion zone. Next would be 5165 levels from where we should see a strong bounce.
Today we have had some thrilling experience in the markets, Our overnight swing position got sold with a 35 points profit, while immediately we had another swing long trade with almost nullified the accrued gains. This month seems to be a month of the trend followers. The month of May was a swing traders month in which we had swing trades on the NIFTY futures giving a total profit of 470 points and trend trades giving 159 points gain. Comparatively this month is not up to May months gains. These are todays calculations, we are left with yet another 8 trading days which is 40% of a months total, anything can happen in the coming days.
There cannot be a one side journey any time in the markets, at some time if we have a run around winning trades, the next phase would be a give back period with a continuous streak of losing trades or at times can prolong with break even trades, like we witnessed today.
Trading your system with discipline having the strongest belief and faith will get the necessary reward in the long run.
Trend traders are enjoying a great weekend while Swing traders though not a worried lot have nothing to cheer. Very soon sun will shine on them too. Thank you, have a wonderful week end.