Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

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USDJPY Price Action Targets Further Gains on H4 Chart

The USD/JPY forex pair, often referred to as the "Gopher," is one of the most traded currency pairs in the forex market. It reflects the exchange rate between the US dollar (USD) and the Japanese yen (JPY), influenced by economic data from both economies and central bank policies. Today, the focus is on the release of the US Treasury International Capital (TIC) report, building permits data, housing starts, and a speech by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller. A higher-than-expected TIC reading or hawkish tones from Waller may strengthen the USD, pushing USD JPY price higher. On the Japanese side, attention remains on the Core CPI, as inflation figures could impact Bank of Japan's future policy stance. If the US data shows strength, USD/JPY could gain momentum, continuing its upward trajectory.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the USDJPY H4 chart, we observe a bullish trend with the price trading near the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level at 150.216. The ascending trend line has a 33-degree angle, indicating strong upward momentum. The Bollinger Bands show the price maintaining an upward direction, with the recent candles pushing against the upper band, signaling bullish pressure. The MACD also supports the bullish trend, as both the MACD line and histogram are above the signal line, though further observation is needed for any potential divergence. The price action suggests that the USDJPY might aim for higher levels, but traders should watch for potential resistance and overbought conditions near the upper band.

DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

AUD/USD H4 Chart Price Action Insights

The AUD/USD pair, often referred to as the "Aussie," represents the exchange rate of the Australian Dollar against the US Dollar. This forex pair is heavily influenced by economic indicators and central bank policies from both Australia and the United States. Today, traders are closely watching events such as the RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser's fireside chat and the IMF meeting discussing global economic issues, which may provide insights into future monetary policies. Hauser's comments could signal potential shifts in interest rate expectations, which would be bullish for the AUD if his tone is hawkish. Meanwhile, the USD is under focus due to speeches from key Federal Reserve officials, whose statements could hint at future rate hikes, adding volatility to the AUD USD pair. The mixed economic outlook globally, coupled with these significant events, suggests that AUD/USD chart may experience heightened market movements, depending on the stance and guidance provided by these economic authorities.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
In the AUD/USD H4 chart, the Aussie pair has been in a bearish trend, as indicated by the downward trajectory shown by the Fibonacci retracement levels. After touching a low near the 0.66395 level, the AUDUSD price has rebounded, moving from the lower Bollinger Band towards the upper band, suggesting a potential trend reversal. The recent price action shows that out of the last ten candles, seven have been bullish, while the last candle remains green, indicating a continuation of the upward movement. However, the two preceding candles were bearish, showing some resistance around the 0.67208 level, aligning with the Fibonacci 23.6% level. The Williams %R indicator currently reads -24.71, which is near the overbought territory, hinting at potential short-term selling pressure if the price struggles to break above the immediate resistance. For a sustained bullish move, the price needs to breach the downtrend line and the 0.67555 (Fibonacci 38.2%) level. Otherwise, a failure to do so may result in the price consolidating or retesting lower levels.

DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

BTCUSD H4 Chart Bullish Trend Analysis

BTCUSD pair, often referred to as "Digital Gold," represents the exchange rate of Bitcoin in US Dollars, merging the volatility of cryptocurrency with forex trading. Today's key economic indicators from the US include updates on the Trade Balance, Wholesale Inventory, House Price Index, and Consumer Confidence—each of which could influence the dollar’s strength. With a stronger dollar potentially putting downward pressure on BTC/USD, any weakness in these indicators might support further upside movement. A particularly close eye will be on the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence report and JOLTS job openings, as these provide insight into economic resilience and consumer spending—both critical for the dollar’s trajectory.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the BTCUSD H4 chart, we observe a sharp bullish trend within the last 20 candles, with a strong rally beginning at this week's market opening. Out of these candles, 14 have been bullish, reflecting a persistent upward momentum that has pushed BTC USD above the Ichimoku cloud—a signal of a robust trend. The BTC-USD pair has also breached key Fibonacci levels, including the 0.5 and 0.382, currently sitting between the 0.236 level and resistance around 72,011. The Williams %R indicator, while near the overbought region, suggests sustained bullish sentiment but warrants caution for potential corrections. BTCUSD’s ability to sustain above the cloud and hold gains at higher Fibonacci levels will likely determine the strength of this bullish move.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

AUDCHF H4 analysis: Bearish Momentum

AUDCHF, sometimes referred to as the “Aussie-Swiss,” represents the exchange rate between the Australian Dollar and the Swiss Franc, a pair often influenced by risk sentiment due to the AUD’s commodity-linked nature and the CHF’s safe-haven status. The AUDCHF pair on the H4 chart shows a clear bearish trend as it continues to trade below key resistance levels, with price action forming lower highs and lower lows. The pair is currently consolidating near a support level at 0.56666, with further supports at 0.56400 and 0.56075 if the downtrend persists. The price remains beneath the Ichimoku cloud, a strong signal that bearish momentum is intact, while the RSI hovers near 34, suggesting the pair is approaching oversold conditions. Despite nearing oversold territory, there’s no concrete sign of a reversal yet, so a break below the immediate support could lead to further declines.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Fundamental pressures add to the bearish outlook, with weaker-than-expected Australian inflation data weighing on the AUD and supporting the Swiss Franc as a safe-haven. Global uncertainties continue to drive demand for the CHF, while the Australian Dollar faces potential further weakness if the Reserve Bank of Australia signals a dovish stance in response to slowing inflation. Any rebound attempts may face resistance at 0.57050, 0.57150, and 0.57375, but the prevailing downtrend remains strong unless we see a shift in economic sentiment or a technical reversal signal.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

USDJPY Bulls Eye Higher Resistance Levels

USDJPY, often regarded as a key indicator of market sentiment between the U.S. Dollar and the Japanese Yen, reflects the contrast between the USD’s strength backed by a robust U.S. economy and the JPY’s status as a safe-haven currency with historically low interest rates. The USDJPY pair on the H4 chart shows a clear bullish trend as it continues to trade above key support levels, with price action forming higher highs and higher lows. The pair is currently testing a resistance level at 152.800, with further resistance at 153.000 if the uptrend persists. The price remains above the Ichimoku cloud, a strong indication that bullish momentum is intact, while the RSI hovers near 58, indicating room for further upside before reaching overbought conditions. Despite the upward momentum, a break above the immediate resistance would solidify the bullish outlook.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Fundamental pressures add to the bullish outlook, with stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data supporting the USD, particularly the Core PCE Price Index at 0.3% versus 0.1% expected, which bolsters the likelihood of a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan’s decision to maintain its ultra-low policy rate contrasts sharply with the Fed’s approach, putting further pressure on the JPY. Any retracement attempts may find support at 151.450 and 148.900, but the prevailing uptrend remains strong unless there is a shift in economic sentiment or a technical reversal signal.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

EURUSD Price Action Approaches Key Fibonacci Level

The EUR/USD forex pair, often nicknamed "Fiber," is one of the most traded currency pairs in the forex market, reflecting the economic relationship between the Eurozone and the United States. Today, the Euro may react to economic data releases like the S&P Global's PMI for the Eurozone, a key gauge of manufacturing health. As PMI readings above 50.0 suggest expansion and below indicate contraction, stronger-than-expected numbers could lend support to the Euro by hinting at economic resilience. Conversely, weak PMI data might add downward pressure on the Euro, signaling a slowdown. Meanwhile, U.S. data, including the Federal Reserve's lending standards and Census Bureau’s manufacturing orders, will also provide insights into the USD's strength, possibly driving EUR/USD volatility.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the EUR/USD H4 chart, we observe the price moving within a bullish channel, showing signs of shifting from a previous bearish trend. The Fiber’s price is currently trading near the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at approximately 1.0880, indicating a potential reversal point. Bollinger Bands show the price in the upper half, suggesting moderate bullish momentum, while the recent gap at market open highlights renewed buying interest. Despite the last two bearish candles at the close of last week, the current price movement within the channel suggests further bullish potential if it breaks the 0.786 level. The RSI is positioned near the 58 level, indicating a bullish sentiment but not yet in overbought territory, leaving room for continued upward movement.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

AUDUSD Price Action: Key Support and Resistance Levels

The AUDUSD currency pair, commonly known as the "Aussie," represents the exchange rate between the Australian dollar and the U.S. dollar. As of November 5, 2024, the pair is influenced by several key factors. The U.S. presidential election has introduced uncertainty, with polls indicating a tight race between candidates, potentially impacting market volatility and the U.S. dollar's strength. Additionally, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to maintain its cash rate at 4.35%, reflecting steady economic growth and persistent core inflation. These events are likely to affect the AUD/USD exchange rate in the near term.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the AUD/USD 4-hour chart, the pair has been in a bearish trend but is showing signs of reversal. Out of the last 25 candles, 12 have been positive, including the most recent two, indicating bullish momentum. The price is currently moving between the 0 and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement levels, approaching the 0.236 line, suggesting potential upward movement. The current candle is positioned in the upper half of the Bollinger Bands, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending upwards, reinforcing the bullish outlook.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore