Some of my forecasts

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4xpipcounter

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Nifty

This market is around the corner from taking a rest from its downtrend. Levels with regards to the ichimoku and the SD channels are dynamic, but I did say somewhere (Just don't want to do the grunt work to look it up.) that 4657 is the next major target after 5171 is broken. The WS1 is 4674, so we can look for that to contain, and then bring on what could amount to a MT choppy correction. Originally I said the correction would take us back to 5220. That is subject to change, but for now, I'll hold to that figure. To actually pinpoint a containment level for the correction is tough because everything in sight is so bearish. It's just this point is an extremity, and it has to give up some of the losses.
 
Re: Nifty

Hi Mr.Paul,

Requesting to post Indian market weeklies & Nifty monthly levels here also (like "4xpipcounter.blogspot. com/").

Regards,
Keerthi



This market is around the corner from taking a rest from its downtrend. Levels with regards to the ichimoku and the SD channels are dynamic, but I did say somewhere (Just don't want to do the grunt work to look it up.) that 4657 is the next major target after 5171 is broken. The WS1 is 4674, so we can look for that to contain, and then bring on what could amount to a MT choppy correction. Originally I said the correction would take us back to 5220. That is subject to change, but for now, I'll hold to that figure. To actually pinpoint a containment level for the correction is tough because everything in sight is so bearish. It's just this point is an extremity, and it has to give up some of the losses.
 

NANDAMAD

Well-Known Member
It's called a hobby. Others call it patience--lol.
That's why in trading we choose what is best for the individual. I'd give up pancakes before I would the ichimoku. Others don't like it. Without sounding egocentric, I think my methodology is the best there is. But...that is exactly how everyone should feel about theirs. And please! If you got something that will help me improve it, I am all ears.

Now getting back to Tucker. We had the grandchildren over. He is now with me here in The Cave sleeping. There will be no head nodding for him right now. Shhhhhh.

Hehehe, got to listen to this one. Some of the kids were over (Got 6 of them.). One was going on and on about me and Tucker being so close. She says, "You and that dog! I think you spend more time with him than you do Mom." My reply: "Of course I do. We have more in common."
That comment cost me a meal. I had to take her out instead of getting a home-cooked one.
Congratulate madam on my behalf
 

sanjosedesi

Well-Known Member
Hi Paul, I had talked about doing a Q&A with you. However, I realized I am not much of a journo, so not sure how good it will be. Anyhow here's a couple of questions which require a story rather than a technical discussion and might be interesting ... you do not need to talk specific numbers, if that comes in the way.

#1. What has been the biggest oops, trading wise?
#2. What has been the biggest unexpected gain? How did that transpire?
 

4xpipcounter

Well-Known Member
Hi Paul, I had talked about doing a Q&A with you. However, I realized I am not much of a journo, so not sure how good it will be. Anyhow here's a couple of questions which require a story rather than a technical discussion and might be interesting ... you do not need to talk specific numbers, if that comes in the way.

#1. What has been the biggest oops, trading wise?
I'll give a 2 of them, because I think they are relevant and will alert different ones with similar ideas.
1. This will also show why I highly discourage strictly emanating my trades, or anyone else's. Why I say if you trade other people's signals, you even need a methodology to go with it.
Throughout 2006 I was seriously considering open a signals service, along with being an account manager and trading for others. During this year I was being given all kinds of referrals for people to follow my signals for one free month. Eventually, I had a list of over 500 people that took advantage of that free offer. One of them was someone I developed a friendship with on the internet and on the phone. He lives in the UK, and I live in the USA. He had an internet service, and he was going great guns to advertise for me about my service and the future developments that were involved with it. That was at a time that I practically welcomed the attention and the practical cult following I had at the time. The guy was not a good trader over the years, and we both just knew I would be his panacea.
Finally, the time came, I opened a short on the EUR/NZD (With my conservative margining principles.) at 2.0356, and he bet the house in that circa area. The trade went in our favor. He was delighted when it got to 2.0190. He was up 8,300 GBP's overnight, and I'm thinking either he has a big roll, in his account or something is wrong.
The next day it turned against us, but not a big margin. I still knew it was headed to 1.8500, so it did not matter to me.
Time went on, and the trade kept going in arrears. I added around 2.0500, and he did too, and it did reverse....for awhile. He was happy allover again, and the total was in the positive for us.
It went against us again, and I added again around 1.0800. By this time I got the terrible news--worse than I could imagine. (This fiasco is of my own doing, so keep reading.)The guy took the last 25,000 GBP's to his name and bet (Correct word there.) it on that trade hoping to make hospital payments for his very sick wife. Also, he convinced several of the followers on his blog to follow those same trades, and they lost big.
What did I lose? A friend, and lots of integrity. Sure it was hit fault for betting the house, but I developed this cult-like following, and I was responsible. Those were the days I was posting all my trades and showing 3,000 pips per month.
As far as I was concerned I added another position in there somewhere, and the market peaked at 2.1176. On the reversal, it made it back to my original entry point, and in my embarrassment, I took the trade out, rather than let it run. With the add ons, when I reported 1,400 pips I expected no one to believe me.
2. Here's another point, folks. SJD wanted to know my all-time biggest oops. I'm writing this, so it serves as a warning, especailly for newbies. I will also say there are a lot of things I have to cut to the chase about. It is an effort to protect certain entities, but the relevant details will still be there.
In <> April 2007, I entered a new facet of my career, and that was being an account manager. My idea was I was doing well, personally, and I thought others would to, and I would be paid wonderfully. Little did I know about all the regulation that was involved, along with lots of logistical problems.
The first problem I ran into was being paid less than 1/8th of the total money earned in my first month.
Because of many internal problems and the pressure of trading for others, I started letting things get to me. The mental part of trading was severely getting the best of me. My clients' accounts started to suffer horridly. It got to the point I closed everyone's accounts down with some huge losses.


#2. What has been the biggest unexpected gain? How did that transpire?
This is easy. I entered a long on the AUD/USD. I am really clam when it comes to entering and exiting trades, so I never think much of it, so I just walk away, go do other things, but I don't spend a lot of time thinking about a trade after I am in. This time I was in the middle of a big session in my chat room. I left the platform up, because we were in the middle of a discussion. I got up to pour a drink, and then came back. I was shocked over the dollar gain up to that point. I checked the chart, and the gain on the chart nowhere near matched the dollar gain on the trade. I checked the current price on the trade and it was right. I kept asking, "How did I make so much money in this short period of time?" I found the answer. Some how I hit the position size by adding a zero on to the quantity of lots, so I had 10 times the amount on the dollar gains. After +12 pips <> I took the trade out, but it was actually the equivalent of a 120-pip gain
Now I'm going to mix up my ego and a warning all at the same time. I hope the above examples show why I use my forecasts as a learning tool, and for it to be a conduit to new ideas, and not to replicate the forecasts, unless you have a personal heartfelt conviction about it.
I'm going to say this humbly, but it is going to sound like I am an egomaniac. I've asked people on my blog the this, and that is to look anywhere on the internet for the accurate forecasts and the quantity of markets I do. I even forecasted a market for Eagle, and I still don't know the name of it. Having said that, I am not here to get my ego stroked. I'm here to improve my trading and to help others.
Has some of your respect diminished because I told you just like it is? I hope not, but if it did, I still have the peace of mind in knowing I was 100% truthful and will always be that way.
As a rule, I'm a better forecaster than trader, but I'm still a good trader.
Having said that, and this is the main point I want to convey. There are signal providers and account managers all over the internet, and all have great claims. My example is the rule. If I'm the exception, then introduce me to 100 or more people that are being benefited by a signal provider or someone trading for them.
In essence, let my story serve as a warning.
Keep reading, and you will always be entertained by great forecasting and S&R's that are flying in the clouds.
LOL, if the hits per day on this thread diminish, I know my story scared a few off.
 
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