Nothing much to Add Rakesh just a few points to think about.
As I had mentioned that we have to start drawing envelopes as soon as we see \/\/ or /\/\ on charts but we start to use the envelope only after there have been 25 bars on
Daily chart in this \/\/ pattern, not before that otherwise we will end up trading every consolidation as Trading Range which is not desirable, now the question arises that how many Bars do we need for a valid Trading Range on 60 min. charts.
I was using envelope for stocks after around 60 bars on 60 min charts in \/\/ i.e. roughly 10 bars on Daily charts, as we have around 14 hourly bars each day in commodities so we might need around 130- 140 bars or around 10 Bars on Daily charts for using Envelope. The no. of bars is the thing that Saint and other Seniors will have to think of
4. Strategy for sideways market-- The current phase i feel is temporary. Commos are known to be in a range for a lot lot of time. What is your strategy for that. I guess the one laid out by Prabhjeet would be useful here..
Rakesh if you have noticed it, you will find that mostly stocks or commodities get into these kind of ranges only after they have seen a sharp rise followed by equally sharp decline, you can take the examples of Nifty, Crude or Copper.
For Gold I think that time is far away yet, I think there are very minimal chances of it getting struck in the range at its peak, it would most probably move up or down only.
Another thing I would like to point it here is that everyone has heard that Stocks spend most of their time in a "range" but what is meant by "range' here is different than what we call a Trading range.
If I cite the example of Nifty then we were Trending on Monthly charts only when in around July 2003 the Pivot hi was broken after that till 4 years we just moved up but that would be called a Range on Monthlies not a Trend. So the point here is that though Commodities may spend most of their time in a Range but they are still tradable
So well put by Prabheet in Pages 14 and 15.......in total agreement.Could not have put it that well though.
Thanks Prabhjeet,and great stuff.....and looking fwd to more,more and more from you,my friend.
Saint
Thanks for your kind words Saint but this Trading Range is not my invention, I had read it myself somewhere so thought of putting it here.
It would be very helpful if you can guide us on how to use it in our Flow method