Fibonacci II
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Let me pause just to let you know I don't use Fibs for my personal trading, but they are still effective. Numerous charts are posted in my thread which shows the pictures of my entire methodology.
Now that we learned how our ratios are derived, it is now time to put them to work. (BTW, if you have a favorite market, I can post a chart on it. I don't want you thinking I'm cherry-picking the markets.)
The chart posted is a daily of the AUD/USD. What the chart is showing is that the pair has switched directions. First it was in an uptrend, and now the downtrend has begun.
Trendlines (TL's) are part of my personal methodology. It was drawn from the recent dip to the most recent swing low in the uptrend. The first thing to look for (I did a series in this forum on TL's.) is when a TL is broken is a longer than usual candle. That determines the fact the trend has changed. We had the break, and the candle is longer than usual, so we now address this pair, as far as the daily chart is concerned, as a downtrend. But, we still need to be aware of supports and resistances (S&R's) along the way.
The pair has just run into the first support zone of any significant consequence. IMO (Anytime it is my opinion, it does not make it an absolute fact.), it is best to use chart S&R's when using Fibs, because they are better served as a confluence with the Fibs. The pair ran into chart along with the .764 Fibo retracement value. The chart S was determined by drawing the line form the swing high on the left, and then it takes us through a very busy looking area on the chart. The chart S, along with the .764 Fibo retracement value form a confluence.
It is always best to have a confluence of S or R, rather than take the Fibos at their naked value. Look what happened to the .382, .500, .618. They just got ripped out. But, once the .764 was hit, it also met up with some chart S that said, "Okay DOWN, you had your fun. Now it is time to stop."
Coming up next is what to expect on the correction, as we now put on our binoculars and look forward. Before reading my next post, I would look ahead just to see what you might be able to see on your own without me getting in the way.
Uploaded with ImageShack.us
Let me pause just to let you know I don't use Fibs for my personal trading, but they are still effective. Numerous charts are posted in my thread which shows the pictures of my entire methodology.
Now that we learned how our ratios are derived, it is now time to put them to work. (BTW, if you have a favorite market, I can post a chart on it. I don't want you thinking I'm cherry-picking the markets.)
The chart posted is a daily of the AUD/USD. What the chart is showing is that the pair has switched directions. First it was in an uptrend, and now the downtrend has begun.
Trendlines (TL's) are part of my personal methodology. It was drawn from the recent dip to the most recent swing low in the uptrend. The first thing to look for (I did a series in this forum on TL's.) is when a TL is broken is a longer than usual candle. That determines the fact the trend has changed. We had the break, and the candle is longer than usual, so we now address this pair, as far as the daily chart is concerned, as a downtrend. But, we still need to be aware of supports and resistances (S&R's) along the way.
The pair has just run into the first support zone of any significant consequence. IMO (Anytime it is my opinion, it does not make it an absolute fact.), it is best to use chart S&R's when using Fibs, because they are better served as a confluence with the Fibs. The pair ran into chart along with the .764 Fibo retracement value. The chart S was determined by drawing the line form the swing high on the left, and then it takes us through a very busy looking area on the chart. The chart S, along with the .764 Fibo retracement value form a confluence.
It is always best to have a confluence of S or R, rather than take the Fibos at their naked value. Look what happened to the .382, .500, .618. They just got ripped out. But, once the .764 was hit, it also met up with some chart S that said, "Okay DOWN, you had your fun. Now it is time to stop."
Coming up next is what to expect on the correction, as we now put on our binoculars and look forward. Before reading my next post, I would look ahead just to see what you might be able to see on your own without me getting in the way.