Weekly Forecast--102311
EUR/USD: The WR2 at 1.4037 is containment this week, and it may not be hit. The pair is preparing for a reversal, but the longer it takes the lesser the impact it will have. The bottom of the daily cloud is 1.3946, top is 1.4020. The yearly trend cycle is finished at 1.3973. That is not necessarily an R, but it is a level that should make the antennas go up to signal a reversal is close.
USD/JPY: Fridays candle looks huge, but in the light of recent pricing activity, it is not really that big a move. We did get another (what appears to be) strong bounce off the bottom of the daily cloud, and the pair is scheduled to head north to start the week. Nevertheless, a tight eastward motion is still on the radar until something significant happens to this pair. Unless 77.32 is taken out convincingly, it will probably be more of the same this week. The pair is in a wide range southerly channel on the weekly and monthly and that would be further confirmed at the circa 77.32 level.
GBP/USD: This pair has some strong similarities to the EUR/USD. The WR2 at 1.6137 is containment saving for any spike up to 1.6165, which is the years trends cycle completion mark. The bottom of the thin daily cloud is 1.6056 and the top is 1.6160. It is favored to see the pair do some correction to start the week. The WS1 at 1.5852 is ideal containment to the south. If that contains, then the trip north should be completed this week.
USD/CHF: This pair is headed south. Unlike its cousins, cable and fiber, it has a ways to go in its trend. A correction will begin the week that will take the pair to the WR1 at .8898, and possibly the WR2 at .8974. The WR2 is a cluster event, and is sure to contain. As it heads south, the weekly tenken at .8512 is well in view and even the kijun at .8190. Considering the WS3 is .8544, it is assumed, and rightly so, that neither of those marks will be hit this week.
EUR/CHF: It appears to me the reversal is underway for this pair. That being the case, then the top of the daily cloud is an easy target at 1.1847 is an easy target. The weekly tenken at 1.1735 should also be hit, but not this week, of course. WE might see a correction back to the 4-hout kijun at 1.2337 and the WR1 at 1.2329. That is a strong R zone, and if this is the beginning of the DOWN, then that level contains.
AUD/USD: The daily cloud is only 74 pips wide at 1.04271.0501, so that area should contain for a MT reversal. A check of the S&R levels shows the WR1 and WR2 at 1.0448 and 1.0520, respectively. It will be that area that will contain this weeks price action.
USD/CAD: This pair should revisit the sub-parity region again this week. After all, WS1 is 1.0000. It could dip further to the WS2 at .9938. The bottom of the 4-hour cloud is 1.0162, so that should be containment. MT, watch for a strong reaction at .9887. That is the top of the daily cloud.
NZD/USD: This pair is looking very volatile for this week and over coming weeks. The weekly kijun is .8152. That could contain, or we could also see a violent push all the way to .8295. Regardless of how the week unfolds, circa .7900 appears to be containment for quite awhile.
EUR/GBP: This pair is bracing itself for another shot at .9000 over the MT. For this week, the daily kijun at .8662, and maybe the WS2 at .8635 should contain. There are mixed indication for this pair, so things look consolidative over the next few weeks
EUR/JPY: We have had a daily TL break to the downside for this pair, but what makes it look deceitful is that it broke it going sideways, so it may not be the real deal. If we do get the move south, then the daily kijun at 104.19 should be containment. The WS2 is 104.38, so if we get to that circa, then that zone will contain. Ultimately, this should be a build up towards the weekly kijun TL combo at 111.27. That should be MT containment for what should present another fall that will take us under 100.00.
GBP/JPY: This pair is stuck in a triangle on the 4-hour with boundaries of 120.71 and 121.98. It is favorable to see a break to the upside, and for the pair to continue north to 124.63, possibly higher over the MT. This week, look for the WR2 at 123.02 to be hit.
EUR/USD: The WR2 at 1.4037 is containment this week, and it may not be hit. The pair is preparing for a reversal, but the longer it takes the lesser the impact it will have. The bottom of the daily cloud is 1.3946, top is 1.4020. The yearly trend cycle is finished at 1.3973. That is not necessarily an R, but it is a level that should make the antennas go up to signal a reversal is close.
USD/JPY: Fridays candle looks huge, but in the light of recent pricing activity, it is not really that big a move. We did get another (what appears to be) strong bounce off the bottom of the daily cloud, and the pair is scheduled to head north to start the week. Nevertheless, a tight eastward motion is still on the radar until something significant happens to this pair. Unless 77.32 is taken out convincingly, it will probably be more of the same this week. The pair is in a wide range southerly channel on the weekly and monthly and that would be further confirmed at the circa 77.32 level.
GBP/USD: This pair has some strong similarities to the EUR/USD. The WR2 at 1.6137 is containment saving for any spike up to 1.6165, which is the years trends cycle completion mark. The bottom of the thin daily cloud is 1.6056 and the top is 1.6160. It is favored to see the pair do some correction to start the week. The WS1 at 1.5852 is ideal containment to the south. If that contains, then the trip north should be completed this week.
USD/CHF: This pair is headed south. Unlike its cousins, cable and fiber, it has a ways to go in its trend. A correction will begin the week that will take the pair to the WR1 at .8898, and possibly the WR2 at .8974. The WR2 is a cluster event, and is sure to contain. As it heads south, the weekly tenken at .8512 is well in view and even the kijun at .8190. Considering the WS3 is .8544, it is assumed, and rightly so, that neither of those marks will be hit this week.
EUR/CHF: It appears to me the reversal is underway for this pair. That being the case, then the top of the daily cloud is an easy target at 1.1847 is an easy target. The weekly tenken at 1.1735 should also be hit, but not this week, of course. WE might see a correction back to the 4-hout kijun at 1.2337 and the WR1 at 1.2329. That is a strong R zone, and if this is the beginning of the DOWN, then that level contains.
AUD/USD: The daily cloud is only 74 pips wide at 1.04271.0501, so that area should contain for a MT reversal. A check of the S&R levels shows the WR1 and WR2 at 1.0448 and 1.0520, respectively. It will be that area that will contain this weeks price action.
USD/CAD: This pair should revisit the sub-parity region again this week. After all, WS1 is 1.0000. It could dip further to the WS2 at .9938. The bottom of the 4-hour cloud is 1.0162, so that should be containment. MT, watch for a strong reaction at .9887. That is the top of the daily cloud.
NZD/USD: This pair is looking very volatile for this week and over coming weeks. The weekly kijun is .8152. That could contain, or we could also see a violent push all the way to .8295. Regardless of how the week unfolds, circa .7900 appears to be containment for quite awhile.
EUR/GBP: This pair is bracing itself for another shot at .9000 over the MT. For this week, the daily kijun at .8662, and maybe the WS2 at .8635 should contain. There are mixed indication for this pair, so things look consolidative over the next few weeks
EUR/JPY: We have had a daily TL break to the downside for this pair, but what makes it look deceitful is that it broke it going sideways, so it may not be the real deal. If we do get the move south, then the daily kijun at 104.19 should be containment. The WS2 is 104.38, so if we get to that circa, then that zone will contain. Ultimately, this should be a build up towards the weekly kijun TL combo at 111.27. That should be MT containment for what should present another fall that will take us under 100.00.
GBP/JPY: This pair is stuck in a triangle on the 4-hour with boundaries of 120.71 and 121.98. It is favorable to see a break to the upside, and for the pair to continue north to 124.63, possibly higher over the MT. This week, look for the WR2 at 123.02 to be hit.
Last edited: